BP puts containment cap on gushing Gulf well pipe

After failing days ago to plug the well, BP Plc managed to shear away the gushing well pipe a mile (1.6 km) below the ocean surface, then lowered a containment cap over the jagged hole left atop the crippled wellhead assembly in its latest bid to curtail the oil flow.

Pressure is building on BP to suspend dividend payments, which total $10.5bn a year, and divert cash to dealing with the spill and clean-up.

Two Democratic US senators have called on BP to suspend shareholder dividends until the full cost of the cleanup is known. London-based investment bank Evolution Securities said in a research note, “We believe BP will bow to political pressure in the US and suspend dividend payments for the remainder of 2010.”

The placement of the cylindrical containment cap was confirmed by the US disaster response chief, Coast Guard Admiral Thad Allen, in a statement describing the move as a “positive development” but “only a temporary and partial fix.”

“It will be some time before we can confirm that this method will work and to what extent it will mitigate the release of oil into the environment,” Allen said.

Once the containment cap is firmly in place over the wellhead, the plan is to start funneling at least some of the escaping oil and gas into a large hose that would carry it from the bottom of the Gulf of Mexico to the surface, where it would be collected in ships and safely removed.

Confronting one of the biggest tests of his presidency as his party girds for tough congressional elections in November, Obama called off a trip to Australia and Indonesia set for this month to focus more on the oil spill and other matters.

The White House said in a statement that Obama spoke to Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono to inform them of his decision. The trip had been scheduled for June 13-19.

Crude oil has been pouring unchecked into the Gulf of Mexico at up to 19,000 barrels (800,000 gallons/3 million litres) a day since an explosion April 20 that demolished a BP-contracted drilling platform off the coast of Louisiana, killing 11 crewmen and unleashing an environmental disaster of epic proportions.

Business model
BP CEO Hayward wrote in a column published in the Wall Street Journal that the latest approach “should enable us to contain and collect the majority of the oil and gas flowing from the well.”

Hayward added that he expected to have the new containment system in place “in the next few days.” He also suggested that the oil industry “evaluate its business model,” noting that production companies have for decades “relied on outsourcing work to specialised contractors.”

Such was the case with the doomed Deepwater Horizon exploration rig, which was owned by Transocean Ltd, while Halliburton Co was working to seal the well when the blowout occurred.

The company’s latest bid to curb its undersea gusher offers the most immediate hope of gaining control over the worst oil spill in US history. But BP has said it does not expect to be able to fully halt the oil flow until August, when two relief wells are due for completion.

A live video feed of BP’s underwater robots working at the blowout site showed dark clouds of material belching from around the containment cap.

With television news footage increasingly filled with images of toxic black goo lapping into fragile marshlands and coating sea birds, Obama has come under growing political pressure to take more decisive action on the crisis.

Obama’s trip to the Gulf Coast, his third to the region since the rig explosion, will include discussions with “real people,” including residents and business owners affected by the calamity, the White House said.

“His attention needs to be here,” said Windsor Semexant, a New Orleans church pastor visiting a BP office in Venice, Louisiana to seek cleanup work for members of his congregation. “The whole world is watching the oil spill.”

Louisiana is the state hardest hit so far by oil, although the spill also has fouled beaches in Mississippi and Alabama. Government fishing restrictions across much of the region have idled many thousands of fisherman, shrimpers and other seafood workers. Tourism also has suffered.

Birds coated in oil
In a vivid sign of the spill’s impact on wildlife, oil driven ashore by strong winds tarred an island nesting site for brown pelicans in Louisiana’s seafood-rich but ecologically fragile Barataria Bay.

Wildlife officials said 60 birds at the Queen Bess Island Pelican Rookery, including 41 pelicans, were found coated in oil before being caught and taken to a rehabilitation centre.

The brown pelican, Louisiana’s state bird, was removed from the federal endangered species list last year. A bird that feeds by plunge-diving for fish in the open surf, the brown pelican has been among the hardest hit birds by the spill.

Government forecasters said part of the far-flung oil sheen had crept within 6 miles (10 km) of Florida’s Gulf Coast panhandle and could reach the white, sandy shores in days.

The US National Centre for Atmospheric Research projected that the oil slick would be driven by wind and currents around the Florida peninsula by early summer and up the East Coast, possibly as far as North Carolina.

Costa Rica shuts stem cell clinic

About 400 patients, mostly foreigners from the US, have been treated at the Institute of Cellular Medicine in San Jose for multiple sclerosis, arthritis, spinal injuries and other illnesses.

“This isn’t allowed in any serious country in the world,” Health Minister Maria Luisa Avila said in a telephone interview.

The Health Ministry several weeks ago ordered the clinic, owned by Arizona entrepreneur Neil Riordan, to stop performing the treatment, in which stem cells extracted from the patients are reinjected into their bodies.

The ministry said the clinic has a permit to store the stem cells extracted from patients’ own fat tissue, bone marrow and donated umbilical cords but is not authorised to perform the treatment.

Neither Riordan nor the clinic’s medical director, Fabio Solano, were immediately available for comment.

Riordan’s team uses adult stem cells, which can be found throughout the body.

These master cells of the body give rise to many different tissues and blood cells and are standard treatments for leukemias and a few other genetic diseases.

They are different from embryonic stem cells, taken from human embryos. But Riordan’s treatment approach is considered experimental by most experts and the International Society of Stem Cell research has warned against so-called stem cell tourism.

Doctors at Riordan’s clinic have said that they have seen excellent results from the procedure, but ministry officials said that there is no proof that the treatments work.

The stem cell treatments at the Costa Rica institute cost between $5,000 and $30,000.

China, Thailand and Mexico also offer stem cell treatments, but Costa Rica’s stability, modern tourism infrastructure and proximity to the US had made it a preferred destination for many patients.

Riordan has a US company called Aidan Products that sells, among other things, a nutritional supplement that his team says can stimulate the body’s production of blood stem cells.

He also operates a stem cell clinic in Panama and is chairman of Arizona-based Medistem Inc.

Artificial life? Synthetic genes ‘boot up’ cell

They hope to use their stripped-down version of a bacterium to learn how to engineer custom-made microbes.

But some groups worried the technology might be used to make biological weapons and President Obama asked his bioethics advisers to report on the implications.

Others disputed just how far the researchers had gone in making artificial life.

“This is the first synthetic cell that’s been made,” said genome pioneer Craig Venter, who led the research. “This is the first self-replicating species that we have had on the planet whose parent is a computer.”

Other members of his research team said later they had taken only “baby steps” toward the goal of starting with a digital file and custom-making an organism.

Venter has said he would like to try to make bacteria to produce fuel or to use in making better vaccines or to design algae that can vacuum up carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.

“This becomes a very powerful tool for trying to design what we want biology to do,” Venter said at a news conference.

Reporting in the journal Science, Venter’s team said it worked with a synthetic version of the DNA from a small bacterium called Mycoplasma mycoides transplanted into another germ called Mycoplasma capricolum, which had most of its insides removed.

After many false starts, the new microbe came to life and began replicating in the lab dish.

Thwarted success
It took years to figure out how to make an artificial chromosome with artificial genetic sequences. The researchers, who have spent 15 years and $40m so far, then had to figure out how to transfer this into another bacterium.

At first, nothing happened. It turned out there was a single error in the more than one million “base-pairs” in the genetic sequence. “Our success was thwarted for many weeks,” they wrote in their report.

Venter said the team consulted many experts in ethics before it started. The institute’s Dan Gibson said they also briefed the White House because of the security implications – the technique might be used to synthesize biological weapons, for instance.

Obama asked the Presidential Commission for the Study of Bioethical Issues to look at the issue.

“In its study, the Commission should consider the potential medical, environmental, security, and other benefits of this field of research, as well as any potential health, security or other risks,” Obama wrote.

“Further, the Commission should develop recommendations about any actions the federal government should take to ensure that America reaps the benefits of this developing field of science while identifying appropriate ethical boundaries and minimizing identified risks.”

Some environmentalists worried.

“We must ensure that strong regulations are in place to protect the environment and human health from this potentially dangerous new technology,” said Eric Hoffman of Friends of the Earth.

The researchers do not claim to have created a completely synthetic life form but the experiment elicited some dramatic responses.

“Venter’s achievement would seem to extinguish the argument that life requires a special force or power to exist. In my view, this makes it one of the most important scientific achievements in the history of mankind,” bioethicist Arthur Caplan of the University of Pennsylvania wrote in a commentary in the journal Nature.

“Their achievement undermines a fundamental belief about the nature of life that is likely to prove as momentous to our view of ourselves and our place in the universe as the discoveries of Galileo, Copernicus, Darwin and Einstein.”

Jim Collins, a professor of biomedical engineering at Boston University, disputed that.

“Frankly, scientists do not know enough about biology to create life,” Collins wrote in Nature.

“The work reported by Venter and his colleagues is an important advance in our ability to re-engineer organisms; it does not represent the making of new life from scratch.”

After Facebook, Pakistan shuts down YouTube

The blockade came after the Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA) directed internet service providers to stop access to social network site Facebook indefinitely on May 19 because of an online competition to draw the Prophet Mohammad.

Any representation of the Prophet Mohammad is deemed un-Islamic and blasphemous by Muslims.

Wahaj-us-Siraj, the CEO of Nayatel, an internet service provider, said the PTA had issued an order seeking an “immediate” block of YouTube.

“It was a serious instruction as they wanted us to do it quickly and let them know after that,” he told reporters.

YouTube was also blocked in the Muslim country in 2007 for about a year for what it called un-Islamic videos.

A Foreign Office spokesman condemned the publication of caricatures of the Muslim prophet on Facebook and urged countries to “address the issue” which he said was an “extremely sensitive and emotional matter for Muslims”.

“Such malicious and insulting attacks hurt the sentiments of Muslims around the world and can not be accepted under the garb of freedom of expression,” the spokesman, Abdul Basit, told a weekly briefing.

The publications of cartoons of the prophet in Danish newspapers in 2005 sparked deadly protests in Muslim countries. About 50 people were killed during violent protests in Muslim countries in 2006 over the cartoons, five of them in Pakistan.

Al Qaeda claimed responsibility for a suicide attack on Denmark’s embassy in Islamabad in 2008, killing six people, saying it was in revenge for publication of the caricatures.

Blackberry services
PTA spokesman Khurram Ali Mehran said the action to block YouTube was taken after the authority determined that content considered blasphemous by devout Muslims was being posted on the website.

“Before shutting down (YouTube), we did try just to block particular URLs or links, and access to 450 links on the internet were stopped, but the blasphemous content kept appearing so we ordered a total shut down,” he said.

The PTA issued a statement saying it would “welcome the concerned authorities of Facebook and YouTube to contact the PTA for resolving the issue at the earliest which ensures religious harmony and respect”.

The PTA decision to block all of Facebook also cut Pakistanis off from groups and pages dedicated to opposing the competition, which have thousands more supporters than the competition does.

Along with the ban, some other websites, including Wikipedia and Flickr, have been inaccessible in Pakistan since the announcement.

But the authority spokesman said those sites had been blocked because of a technical reason and no orders had been issued against them.

But he said the authority was monitoring other websites.

Siraj, the CEO of Nayatel, said the blocking of the two websites would cut up to a quarter of total traffic in Pakistan.

After the PTA’s directives against Facebook and YouTube, Pakistani mobile companies blocked all Blackberry services on but restored services used by non-corporate users shortly afterward.

The trouble with US watchlists

That’s a trend almost certain to continue as the database grows relentlessly, resulting in a huge haystack of suspects in which to find the terrorist needle. There are no up-to-date figures on the size of that haystack but according to a report a year ago by the Justice Department’s inspector general, the “consolidated watch list” contained more than 1.1 million “known or suspected terrorist identities” by the end of 2008.

That corresponded to around 400,000 people, plus various aliases and ways of spelling names. If the growth rate of previous years is anything to go by, the database may well reach two million entries sometime before the end of this year. The government’s approach to the watch lists has fluctuated from rapidly expanding it after September 11 2001, to trying to trim it, as happened in the final year of the Bush administration.

The course changed after the abortive Christmas Day plot to blow up a Detroit-bound airliner by a Nigerian student, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, who was on a catch-all list called the Terrorist Identities Datamart Environment (TIDE) but not on the smaller “no fly” list. President Barack Obama called for a thorough review of the watch list system.

At a congressional hearing in January, the director of national intelligence, Dennis Blair, said the Bush policy change had responded to complaints about bloated lists and extra scrutiny of innocent travelers. An oft-heard question, Blair said, was “Why are you searching grandmothers? … I should not have given in to that pressure, but it was a factor.”

That, for the time being, was the end of tighter regulations on putting suspects on watch lists. But it was not the end to lapses in security procedures -  Faisal Shahzad, the Pakistani-American charged with trying to explode a car bomb in New York’s Times Square, was allowed to board a Dubai-bound airliner despite having been placed on the no-fly list the day of his flight.

An alert Border Protection officer spotted his name on the list as the aircraft was taxiing out. It was ordered to stop and Shahzad was taken off.

“One really has to wonder where was the failing here,” Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski said in a congressional hearing. “What happened with this watch list. It makes you wonder whether there was a lapse in communication … between law enforcement agencies working at the airport.”

Watch lists to grow
What will be happening with the watch lists seems clear: they will grow because of the nature of Washington bureaucracies whose mode of operation include the principle of CYA (Cover Your Ass). In other words, there is little downside for officials who err on the side of adding too many names but there is a lot for letting an Abdulmutallab slip through.

Who is being placed on the list under current regulations? “In general, individuals who are ‘reasonably suspected’ of having possible links to terrorism – in addition to individuals with known links – are to be nominated for inclusion in the consolidated watch list by the FBI and other members of the intelligence community,” according to the Government Accountability Office, or GAO.

“Reasonable suspicion” is a flexible term and a red flag for civil liberties advocates. An Arizona state law that requires police officers to question a person’s immigration status if there is “reasonable suspicion” that he or she is in the country illegally prompted a chorus of condemnation.

In an odd twist in American politics, “reasonable suspicion” is also raising the hackles of the powerful National Rifle Association (NRA), a group enraged by pending legislation that would give the US Department of Justice authority to block the sale of firearms to people on the terrorist watch list. The issue came up in a congressional hearing just two days after the abortive Times Square bomb attack.

Police found a rifle in the car Shahzad left behind at the airport. He had bought it three months earlier, when he was beginning to assemble material for his abortive bomb plot.

Shahzad was not on a terrorist watch list at the time but if he had been, he still could have bought the gun. Why?

“Membership in a terrorist organisation does not prohibit a person from possessing firearms or explosives under current federal law,” says the GAO, the research arm of Congress. Neither does inclusion in a terrorist watch list. Over the past six years, according to a GAO report read at the hearing, sales of guns and explosives to people on terrorist watch lists totaled 1,119. These included several on the “no fly” list “because the background checks revealed no prohibiting information under current law.”

Under current law, the background checks licensed gun dealers must perform are designed to stop sales to nine categories of people, including “felons, fugitives, unlawful drug users and aliens illegally in the United States.”

The categories do not include “suspicion” and the NRA argues that suspicion is not enough for Congress to curb or take away the constitutional right, enshrined in the second amendment, to own and bear arms. Given the lobby’s enormous influence on Congress, the argument is probably strong enough to block, or at least delay, legislation that would close what is known as the “terror gap.”

Nations pledge record $4.25bn for environment fund

The commitments by 30 donor countries during a session in Paris is a 52 percent increase in new resources for the facility.

GEF
Chief Executive Monique Barbut said the replenishment of funds is the
first “tangible confirmation of financial commitments” made during
international climate talks in Copenhagen in December.

In
Copenhagen, negotiators from industrialised and emerging nations sought
to agree on the basic terms of a new global climate agreement in the
run-up to the next summit in Cancun, Mexico in December.

Part of
the agreement was aimed at providing financing to developing countries
to help them adapt to climate changes. Some of those funds will be
directed through the GEF into projects implemented by UN agencies and
development institutions like the World Bank.

Barbut said about $1.35bn of the new funds would be directed at tackling climate change.

The
rest will be used to better manage and expand protected and endangered
areas, improve the management of trans-boundary water systems, reduce
pollutants in land and water, and expanding and protecting the world’s
forests.

The new funds are a “testimony to the international
donor community’s commitment to the environmental agenda,” said Axel
van Trotsenburg, the vice president for concessional finance and global
partnerships at the World Bank.

British climate change expert
Nicholas Stern, speaking at the IMF, called on world leaders to reach a
political agreement on climate change at Cancun in order to lay the
foundation for an international treaty in 2011.

He said the
agreement should set out how $30bn in climate financing will be
provided to developing nations over the next three years to adapt to
climate change.

It should also indicate how this initial support
will be increased to $100bn a year by 2020, in particular by
introducing new and innovative sources of funding.

The GEF has
been replenished four times since its inception in 1991 starting with
$2.02bn in 1994, $2.75bn in 1998, $2.92bn in 2002 and $3.13bn in 2006.

To
date, the facility has provided $8.7bn in grants for more than 2,400
environmental projects in over 165 developing countries and emerging
economies.

Global cap and trade decades off, US unveils plan

But far from being dead, national and regional cap and trade schemes are emerging as a possible patchwork successor to the international Kyoto Protocol on global warming, whose present round ends in 2012, in the absence of workable alternatives.

Some policymakers outside Europe have downgraded their ambition for a new global treaty or protocol following a disappointing UN summit in Copenhagen in December.

Cap and trade schemes aim to limit greenhouse gases by issuing to industry a certain quota of tradable emissions permits, following a five year old EU model.

Such schemes are emerging as an imperfect, international system for limiting carbon emissions after Kyoto, said Kjetil Roine, manager of carbon market research at Point Carbon.

US legislation similar to the EU scheme would unite US and EU climate diplomacy, said MIT economist Denny Ellerman. “That changes the game, it starts to look like a global system,” he said.

Delayed
One important factor is timing. Cash-strapped governments are struggling to convince voters, industry and political opponents to implement carbon cuts in the wake of recession.

US democrat and independent senators unveiled a long-awaited climate bill, which included a limited cap and trade scheme and off-shore oil drilling.

Experts say the bill may not pass Congress before 2013, after the next presidential election, at the earliest. “I think there will eventually be a cap and trade scheme in the US,” said Harvard University’s Robert Stavins.

In April, Australia froze its cap and trade plans until 2012, and New Zealand said it would go slow until Australia moves, in a scheme it launches for the transport and power sectors in July.

Japan faces a rocky path to launching an emissions trading system after the government approved legislation in March that was vague on how a scheme would limit emissions.

Another important question is whether such schemes link, or have similar rules and carbon prices: an important factor for powerful industry lobbies worried about competitiveness.

The draft US scheme only applies carbon caps to power plants initially, while the EU also binds factory emissions.

Climate Group policy analyst Mark Kenber thought separate schemes could start to join into a global carbon market by about 2020. Ellerman said that date could be further out, at 2030.

Regional cap and trade schemes could start to converge over a 10-year period, said James Cameron, vice-chairman at Climate Change Capital, which has $1.5bn assets under management, including $1bn in carbon markets.

What else?
Emissions trading is far from commanding consensus support. Controversies in the EU scheme include a recent 5 billion euro ($6.35bn) tax fraud.

“Advocates still believe it’s all we’ve got,” said British environmental campaigner Jonathon Porritt, from the sustainable development group Forum for the Future.

“My view is that you will see countries move to trading schemes in the first instance, but these won’t cut emissions fast enough,” said Porritt, who preferred a global carbon tax, for a more definite penalty over volatile carbon prices.

“In the end we need a common EU policy on this (tax) and that could send a very strong signal to the rest of the world.”

A new British coalition government proposed a carbon price floor, where utilities would pay a tax if prices under the European cap and trade scheme fell below a certain level, combining the two approaches.

Policies to support renewable energy such as wind and solar power have been effective driving investment, but do nothing to drive industrial efficiency.

“You need to develop the carbon market for the long-term, and these short-term (clean energy) incentives for the next five to ten years,” said Mark Fulton, head of research at Deutsche Bank Climate Change Advisers.

US trade gap widens in March to $40.4bn

The trade gap increased 2.5 percent to $40.4bn, the largest since December 2008, up slightly from a revised estimate of $39.4bn for February.

Wall Street analysts surveyed before the report had expected a smaller increase to $40.1bn.

The steadily rising trade gap, after falling sharply in 2009, shows the difficulty of curbing “global imbalances” as world economic recovery takes hold and countries return to old spending and savings habits.

But with sovereign debt problems in Europe raising fears of a renewed global crisis, Pierre Ellis, senior economist with Decision Economics in New York, said the US could take solace in the trade report.

“Heading into a riskier period for the world economy, strong exports put us on a better footing,” Ellis said.

“The data is generally in line with expectations,” said Joe Manimbo, market analyst with Travelex Global Business Payments in Washington, adding it would have little impact on currency values.

Both US imports and exports were the highest since October 2008, when world trade was in the early stage of a free fall caused by the global financial crisis.

Combined US imports of goods and services rose 3.1 percent in March to $188.3bn.

Imports of goods alone were also the highest since October 2008, as were individual categories for foods, feeds and beverages, industrial supplies and materials and consumer goods.

Meanwhile, a separate report from the Mortgage Bankers Association showed US mortgage applications rose in early May, reflecting a jump in demand for home refinancing loans as interest rates reached their lowest level since mid-March.

US exports of goods and services increased 3.2 percent in March to $147.9bn, led by gains for consumer goods and industrial supplies and materials. US goods exports were $102.7bn.

Worry over Rome’s Colosseum

Three pieces of mortar – measuring half a square metre – collapsed recently in the ancient amphitheatre, one of the most popular sites in Rome, plunging through a protective netting.

It was the latest in a string of collapses in the forum, where ancient Romans came to watch gladiators fight and see massive spectacles staged, raising fears about visitor safety and whether the buildings can remain standing for much longer as water leaks from rain undermine their foundations.

A restoration and cleaning project is set to start at the Colosseum, which was completed in 80 AD, but the city council is still struggling to raise all the funds needed from the private sector and from donors abroad.

“We have already organised work on all areas around the three rings of the Colosseum, the first, second and third floors, which will be completely restored under this project involving conservation work for 23 million euros” said the under-secretary for Italy’s heritage ministry, Francesco Giro.

In March, part of the ceiling collapsed at the nearby Palace of Nero, or Domus Aurea – which has been plagued by structural problems since it was opened to the public in 1999.

“Conservation, preservation and restoration is needed in the Colosseum and many other places,” said Darius Arya of the American Institute for Roman Culture.

“It is very difficult because these are not pieces and artefacts that are inside a museum, they are outside in the open with the rain and the noise and all these tourists walking around. So these are places that need even more money than most people can imagine,” he added.

Bailed out homebuilders collect fat paycheques

No one rode the US housing bubble higher than the company that calls itself “America’s Builder,” DR Horton Inc.

During the boom years, Horton and its peers sprawled across the map, opening new divisions and buying up smaller fry in an industry-wide frenzy of expansion and acquisition.

In 2006, the year home prices peaked, DR Horton’s sales did as well, with 53,099 home sales closed. Its founder predicted the company would break the 100,000-unit barrier by 2010.

That will not happen – not this year, not anytime soon.

Horton sold just 16,703 homes in 2009. Since the depths of the downturn in 2007, the company has lost more than $3.9bn and laid off 53 percent of its workers.

But Horton has seen robust growth in one area: executive pay. The company’s founder and chairman, DR Horton, made $17.6m from 2007 to 2009, as his annual compensation jumped from $2m to $7.6m, according to Equilar, a research firm that specialises in pay.

His chief executive, Donald Tomnitz, received a similar pay hike. Both will receive raises in base salary this year.

The two were not the only ones who profited handsomely during the most perilous stretch in their industry’s history, when homebuilders fired nearly half their workforce and lost more than half their market cap.

While Wall Street bankers have received far more scrutiny – and grief – for their fat paycheques, homebuilder executives have been doing quite well for themselves. In 2007 and 2008, the CEOs of the 10 biggest US homebuilders earned an average of about $6m a year each in total compensation.

And although banks and automakers got bigger bailouts from the government, homebuilders certainly got their share. This came in the form of tax benefits for buyers, tax refunds for builders and policies that kept mortgage rates low and foreclosures off the market.

“Without the government’s support, in all likelihood we would have seen more failures among the builders,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Economy.com. “It’s almost hard to list all the things that have been done to support homebuilding either directly or indirectly.”

The federal homebuyer tax credit, which has provided up to $8,000 for homebuyers, cost taxpayers about $25bn, Zandi said, while the tax refund amounted to a $5bn cash cushion for big builders’ balance sheets. Individual states, such as California, helped out, too, offering their own baskets of tax benefits and breaks for homebuyers.

Of course, homebuilding executive pay – including that of Horton and Tomnitz – isn’t what it was at the top of the market, when predatory lenders pushed few-questions-asked loans on people who could not afford them. In 2005 alone, for example, Horton and Tomnitz each took home cash bonuses of almost $13m.

Then again, some investors say homebuilders were overpaid during the boom, when Bob Toll of Toll Brothers Inc, R. Chad Dreier of Ryland Group and Larry Mizel of MDC Holdings Inc took home compensation and stock sales in the hundreds of millions.

“Homebuilding is highly cyclical. You can’t blame that on corporate management nor should you give them credit when there is an upturn,” said Eric Marshall, director of research for Hodges Capital Management, which owns shares of number one builder PulteGroup Inc. “CEO compensation needs to be better balanced, especially in cyclical industries.”

DR Horton declined to comment.

Location, location, location
Homebuilding falls in a sector known as consumer durables. That’s the technical term for the big-ticket items that cost consumers not just money but often sleep – such as houses and some of the stuff inside them. Besides homebuilders, the sector includes companies like appliance maker Whirlpool Corp and furniture retailer Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.

But CEOs whose companies build homes make more money – four to five times more – than their counterparts who manufacture couches and washing machines, said Robin Ferracone, executive chair at compensation consultant Farient Advisors. She and others attribute homebuilders’ outsized pay to a quirk of the industry: the involvement of founders and their sons in companies such as Horton, Toll Brothers, MDC Holdings, Lennar Corp and Hovnanian Enterprises.

“When a homebuilding company goes public, it often doesn’t make that psychological transition to being a public company,” Ferracone said. “They pay themselves as if they were private.”

For example, MDC Holdings gave Larry Mizel a $2m bonus, plus restricted stock, in 2007, when the company lost $636.9m. An income-based formula was “unfair and inappropriate” given Mizel’s ability to preserve the company and position it for future success, according to the proxy.

Mizel’s compensation dipped in 2008, but by 2009, at $7.8m, was starting to recover and had rebounded almost to its 2007 level.

MDC Holdings also declined to comment.

Unlike Mizel, Hovnanian’s chief executive did not receive a discretionary bonus, or indeed any bonus, in 2007. Instead, he went without until the next year, when his board revised its bonus programme to peg his award to the reduction of debt, much of which accumulated on his watch.

Long the most leveraged homebuilder, Hovnanian also fired 60 percent of its workers between 2007 and 2009. It lost $2.47bn during that time. Its share price was hammered, falling from a high of $73.40 in July 2005 to a low of $0.52 in March of last year.

CEO and Chairman Ara Hovnanian did manage to cut debt from $2.47bn in 2008 to $1.77bn in 2009. He did so by buying out some bondholders at a loss and then issuing more debt at a discount and higher interest rates, said bond analyst Vicki Bryan of Gimme Credit. Standard & Poor’s, the ratings agency, called the action “tantamount to a default” and a “de facto debt restructuring.”

For this, he received $1.5m in 2008, and $699,500 the next year. The company also paid his country club fees, and let him use its plane and cars for personal use. Unlike its peers, Hovnanian has not purged its compensation of such perks.

The company’s compensation committee said it wanted Ara Hovnanian to focus on debt reduction because it wanted sufficient liquidity to exploit opportunities during the recovery, Chief Financial Officer Larry Sorsby said.

The company also froze Hovnanian’s salary at a little over $1m, and cut his total compensation to $2.7m in 2009, from $5.4m in 2007.

Not every homebuilder executive sought to grow, or at least maintain, his pay during the downturn. Meritage Homes Corp Chief Executive Steven Hilton took a voluntary pay cut and turned down his bonus during the worst years.

His total compensation, already at the lower end compared to his counterparts at comparable builders, fell 29 percent between 2007 and 2009 to $2.5m.

But Meritage is one of the few exceptions.

For whom the bell tolls
At Toll, the board revamped its entire CEO bonus plan in 2007 “to develop a bonus programme that would work effectively in all economic climates,” according to the proxy. The plan had generated excessive compensation during the boom and eliminated bonuses altogether during the bust, Chief Financial Officer Joel Rassman explained.

Under the revised plan, Bob Toll technically earned bonuses of $5.2m in both 2008 and 2009, years the company lost about $1bn. But the board canceled them “due to overall economic conditions” and gave him restricted stock instead.

Of course, even $5.2m is only 2.5 percent of the $212.9m Toll took in between 2006 and 2010 selling shares of his company, according to Ben Silverman of InsiderScore.com.

Toll and Hovnanian’s prominence complicates the industry’s image because they represent housing to Congress and to the public, said John McManus, editorial director for a slate of homebuilding trade publications, including Big Builder.

“Is this guy a greedy banker or a good guy who tries to build housing for people who can’t afford it?” McManus said.

The growth of his company generated wealth for shareholders as well as Toll, Rassman said: “As the CEO of a company he needs to do what is right for the industry, and what is right for America.”

Toll focused his lobbying efforts on policies that would generate jobs, such as a tax credit for only newly constructed homes that never passed, Rassman said.

King cash
Like MDC Holdings, KB Home’s board exercised its discretion in 2007 – but on a far grander scale, handing a $6m bonus to CEO Jeffrey Mezger in his first year on the job for cutting debt and headcount and improving the company’s customer satisfaction levels. The company lost $929.4m that year.

KB, too, declined to comment.

Other builders simply revised their compensation metrics.

Horton, Pulte, Ryland, and Beazer Homes USA Inc opted in 2007 to reward cash generation in addition to income with the result that their CEOs did not go without bonuses in 2008 or 2009.

Beazer could not be reached for comment on this story. KB and Pulte declined to comment.

Ryland’s Dreier got a $2.5m bonus in 2008, when his total compensation was $8.1m, virtually unchanged from 2007.

In 2009, Horton and Tomnitz each received $2.3m.

Ryland said the bonus was intended to motivate Dreier to ramp up its cash position. If profits proved elusive that year, the company would need to have funds on hand to make money once the industry recovered, said Ryland spokesman Eric Elder.

But investors who understand cash’s importance questioned the need for a bonus in such dire times.

“They’re being selective and self-serving,” said Todd Lowenstein, portfolio manager for the HighMark Value Momentum Fund, which used to own Pulte shares. “In an environment like this, you don’t need to shower CEOs with additional compensation. The environment is going to motivate them.”

What’s more, Washington helped CEOs secure those bonuses. An accounting change known as the “net operating loss lookback” was particularly helpful here.

The lookback, which has been on the books for years and was extended in 2009, allows businesses to recoup old taxes by reducing a past profit by the amount of a current loss.

And the policy will ultimately give builders back $4.8bn, according to Deutsche Bank analyst Nishu Sood.

The lookback aims to smooth distortions caused by the annual accounting period and was not designed with homebuilders in mind, said Deloitte Tax Principal Clint Stretch.

“If they weren’t profitable, why should the government have gotten any income tax?” Stretch asked.

But the government’s 2009 decision to extend the policy will greatly benefit builders and applies most neatly to them, said Douglas Shackelford, a professor of tax at the University of North Carolina’s Kenan-Flagler Business School.

Few other companies can apply large losses incurred in 2007 through 2009 to large profits made in 2004 through 2006, Shackelford said.

“Every time there’s a downturn, there’s some group that gets hit harder than anybody else. But it doesn’t follow that they should get more help than anybody else,” he said.

Look back in anger
In recent quarters, tax refunds from the lookback extension made the difference between profit and loss, enabling most of the builders to post their first paper profits in years.

“It’s like you’re walking down the street and you see a bag of money and you get an award because your bank account balance went up,” said Bryan of Gimme Credit.

The lookback also gave big builders an extra edge over smaller rivals.

Selling land was one of the easiest ways to book a loss that would generate a refund, so the lookback motivated them to dump inventory bought at peak-era prices. They then used the cash refund to buy choice parcels on the cheap.

Smaller builders protested that those land sales further hurt land and home prices, and that big builders’ refunds bought coveted land positions that will translate into competitive advantage and marketshare.

Many of the big builders made the lookback a big priority. In early 2009, Hovnanian’s CEO was spending 70 percent of his time lobbying for it, Sorsby told investors at the time. It even helped precipitate a split in the industry, with the bigger players forming an alternative trade organisation.

The government hoped that the main beneficiaries would start hiring, and there is some evidence that is happening.

Miami-based Lennar, which laid off 44.7 percent of its workforce between 2007 and 2009, says it has already hired 50 people and plans to hire more in the near future.

Recovering builder-holics
Lennar and indeed most homebuilders are feeling more optimistic these days than they have in years as the US economy gradually improves and the wobbly housing recovery shows signs of solidifying.

Nationally, sales of new homes rose 26.9 percent in March, the largest increase since April 1963. The heightened demand boosted orders across the sector. Meritage, Horton and Beazer all reported surprise profits.

Horton is so confident it can make money in 2010 it has revised its bonus metric back to pre-tax income, “a performance goal we had historically used before the housing downturn,” according to the company’s most recent proxy.

But given the stubbornly high unemployment rate, most recently reported by the Labour Department at 9.7 percent, the housing recovery could yet stall as the government withdraws its supports for the industry.

In March, the Federal Reserve terminated its programme of purchasing mortgage-related debt, which had helped keep interest rates low and homes more affordable, as did the homebuyer tax credit that expired on April 30.

“The economic backdrop remains difficult. Foreclosure rates remain at record levels, which keeps home values down and depresses potential demand,” Bryan said.

Optimism based on March’s new home sales number is a mistake, said real estate consultant John Burns, whose eponymous firm is located in Irvine, California.

March “was still one of the worst month’s of all time,” he said. “We survey approximately 2,000 communities every month, and sales were not that robust.”

Estimates on the recovery’s timing vary, but even the more sanguine prognosticators say builders might have to wait another year or more to really make money. That means investors might again take a hit as their share prices, up 27 percent this year according to the Dow Jones US Home Construction Index, deflate.

In that event, homebuilder CEO pay may come to reflect the industry’s travails.

“On Wall Street, if you’re managing money and you have a loss for the year you’re not likely to see a large bonus. That’s the way the world works,” Hodges Capital Management’s Marshall said. “They should participate in the downturn just like the shareholders.”

Europe shows coalitions can work

Italy, with a track record for short-lived administrations, is often held up as an example of the instability that can accompany coalitions bridging political divides but Finland, Germany, Ireland and the Netherlands all show it can be done.

The prospect of a coalition has unsettled markets in a country accustomed to one-party rule and emerging from its worst recession since World War Two, but analysts say such governments have successfully tackled economic crises elsewhere in Europe.

“Italy’s a special case,” said Eoin O’Malley, politics lecturer at Dublin City University (DCU). “Italy is very much a southern European country and I think Britain is more likely to behave like a northern European country and make it work.”

The current Irish government – unpopular at home but often cited abroad as an example of how governments can act decisively to tackle debt problems – was formed as a coalition between Prime Minister Brian Cowen’s centrist Fianna Fail, Greens, the now defunct pro-business Progressive Democrats and Independents.

O’Malley also pointed to the Irish government formed in 1994 by John Bruton as an example of a functional coalition that was more complicated than anything proposed in Britain, including as it did politicians from three parties that spanned both the left and the right of the political spectrum.

“They had a reasonably radical reform agenda where the economy was reformed, social welfare was reformed,” O’Malley said of an administration widely credited with having helped lay the foundations for Ireland’s “Celtic Tiger” economic boom.

Reform, stability
Analysts say linguistically divided Belgium is an example of a country where coalitions are often short-lived but point to its neighbour, the Netherlands, to show they can work well.

Dutch governments since 1946 have invariably been coalitions of two to five parties with many lasting three to four years and prime ministers often winning a second successive term.

The last administration collapsed in February after falling out over military involvement in Afghanistan and a bumpy eight years in office for Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende.

But prior to that Wim Kok served as prime minister for eight years, running stable coalitions of social democrats, liberals and conservatives. Kok’s predecessor Ruud Lubbers lasted 12 years and for five of those years ran a left-right coalition.

Paavo Tapio Lipponen, prime minister of Finland from 1993 to 2005, also pulled together broad-based coalitions which produced the two longest-lasting cabinets in Finland’s 93-year post-independence history.

“We were in recession and the prime minister wanted as many parties as possible to share the responsibility,” said Juha Akkanen, editorial writer at Finland’s largest paper Helsingin Sanomat, adding that coalitions could be sources of stability.

“People complain it doesn’t matter who you vote for because almost all parties are in government but it’s also an advantage because politics is reliable, there won’t be many surprises.”

Hugo Brady, Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said coalitions could be short-lived because they were often formed to get a country through periods of instability but pointed out that was not always the case.

“With the right leader they can be very stable creations once they get over an 18-month to two-year period in which all their frailties are exposed,” Brady said. “Power becomes addictive, the partners become hooked on it, and they stay on.”

Peculiarly British
DCU’s O’Malley also said the success of coalitions depended a lot on the relationship between the party leaders involved.

“Where the leaders get on, coalitions can work very well and can last longer than your average marriage,” said O’Malley, adding that another glue binding such governments together could be unpopularity and the fear of triggering an election.

“When a coalition government gets into power, partners do tend to circle their wagons and protect each other. Often it works when the opportunities to leave are so limited that they’re better off working together.”

In Germany, Chancellor Angela Merkel pulled off arguably the most difficult task between 2005 and 2009, holding together a grand coalition of the country’s two main parties from opposite sides of the political divide.

For Britain, the great unknown is the peculiarity of its famously confrontational political system which may not be best suited to a coalition style of government.

“The British always jump up and down about the evils of horse-trading but isn’t it part and parcel of our daily lives and of politics in particular?” said Brady. “I’ve always been confused by the British dislike of horse-trading.”

India foresees carbon turn-around

Concerns are growing over the fate of the UN-backed Clean Development Mechanism, or CDM, which rewards investors by issuing internationally tradeable carbon offsets in return for developing clean-energy projects in poorer nations.

India is the world’s second top source of the carbon offsets, called certified emissions reductions, or CERs, under the scheme.

The CDM is part of the Kyoto Protocol, whose 2008-12 first commitment period sets emissions targets for rich nations that drives demand for the offsets.

But UN-led climate talks have become bogged down and that has led to concern over the shape of the CDM if there is no extension of Kyoto from 2013. “We do not think CDM will disappear. It will be there, maybe under a different name,” said JM Mauskar, additional secretary of the ministry of environment and forests, at the two-day carbon gathering in New Delhi hosted by the German government sustainable development body GTZ.

Project developers were also confident.

“We are positive about the post-2012 scenario,” said Ram Babu, chief executive officer of General Carbon, and one of the leading figures in India’s clean-energy project development.

“The current lull phase to continue until end of 2011,” Babu said and projected a 15-20 euros price band in 2015/16 for CERs.

“Offsets generated from renewable projects will be in demand,” Babu added.

“We don’t see any skyrocketing prices, but expect high volatility until 2012,” said Nils Medenbach, vice president, business development, First Climate Group, a Swiss-based CDM project developer, carbon asset manager and trader.

Project developers and consultants are also positive about the future prospects in the carbon offset business.

“The demand scenario is quite good,” said Rishi Seth, head business development, Emergent Ventures India, a major CDM project developer in India and elsewhere in Asia.

Major buyer
Europe is expected to remain a major CER buyer to meet demand from polluters facing mandatory emissions reduction targets.

Europe has agreed to cut emissions by 20 percent below 1990 levels by 2020 and could raise this to 30 percent if other rich nations step up their efforts.

The EU will also ramp up its emissions trading scheme from 2013 and will continue to allow offsets from CDM projects to be used in the scheme.

Seth also said banks in India were proving tough to convince to provide financing because they wanted projects to generate CERs instantly.

But formal UN approval of projects can take two years and a further 6 to 12 months for the first batch of offsets to be issued.

According to UN data, India has 507 CDM projects registered to date out of a total 2,204 approved in developing countries.

A total of 78.5 million CERs have been issued to Indian projects, representing 19.2 percent of all the CERs issued globally so far. Chinese projects have received nearly half of all CERs issued.

A UN agency that analyses the CDM cut its forecast for pre-2012 Kyoto Protocol carbon offsets, estimating for the first time that less than one billion tonnes will come to market before the climate pact’s first phase expires.