Global biotech bid

A plan is underway to turn Brno, a 13th-century city that went the way of manufacturing under communism, into a modern biotech hub and attract firms eager to tap into a skilled work force, even as a strong currency drives up costs and wages.

“We are trying to connect industry, education and infrastructure to make it easier for companies to come here to create an environment that suits biotech companies best,” Brno’s mayor Roman Onderka said.

The Czech Republic now hosts around 60 biotech firms, mainly near Brno and the capital of Prague. But the key for Brno – the country’s second biggest city – is a partnership with the US Mayo Clinic, the research centre renowned for treating rare medical cases and famous patients including former US President George H.W. Bush.

Announced in 2006, it will help the country play on historic strengths in medicine and research and hopefully become a regional force for more than just cheap labour, said Tomas Sedlacek, chief macroeconomic strategist at Czech bank CSOB.

Establishing the Czech Republic as a research hub could keep the economy humming when wages rise enough to convince low-cost manufacturers settled here to move jobs elsewhere, said Sedlacek, a former government adviser. “The government was pinning its hopes on this partnership,” he said. “It would be wonderful if the Czech Republic could become a clinical research centre or something like the hospital of Europe.”

Over the last decade, the Czech crown has been one of the world’s best performing currencies, fuelled by economic growth of around five percent a year and investors’ expectations that returns on Czech investments will catch up with those in richer neighbouring countries. That is making it more expensive to do business in the country. But Alexandra Rudysarova, chief executive of CzechInvest, which promotes investment, argued Brno’s biotech push shows the nation offers far more than just low∞cost labour.

“We strive to lure investments into sectors such as biotech that provide high added∞value and where investors are far less tempted to relocate to cheap countries east of our borders,” she said.

Competition
The venture in Brno, about halfway between Prague and Vienna, marks the first time the Mayo Clinic has looked abroad and is one of four potential new research centres for the city. Virend Somers, international director and a researcher at the Mayo Clinic, said Brno offers a pool of expertise.

“The fact it is very much a university town is so important to make a venture like this successful to help drive creativity,” he said. “We had also been very impressed by the technical expertise of the Brno physicians and engineers we met on earlier collaborations.”

The government plans to invest some $500m to support the four potential projects – with some money also coming from the European Union – as the city seeks to compete directly with long-established biotech hubs in California and burgeoning ones across Asia, all looking to tap a fast-growing industry. Global biotech sales grew by 12.5 percent in 2007 to more than $55bn, double the 6.4 percent pace seen in the worldwide pharmaceutical market, according to market research company IMS Health.

The plan for Brno also includes a “Medipark” life science campus at Masaryk University, a regional EU centre focusing on biotech, and an electron accelerator to aid drug development. Tax breaks, lower wages, good transportation links connecting eastern and western Europe and a large student population that provides a skilled, English∞speaking workforce have long attracted technology companies such as IBM, Honeywell and Siemens to Brno.

Ten years ago, biotechnology was virtually non-existent in eastern and central Europe, but skilled workforces and relatively low costs helped incubate the industry in countries like the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland.

From peas to patents
The fledgling International Clinical Research Centre is located near the 14th-century abbey where Mendel’s experiments with plants started the gene revolution that gave the world biotech drugs and genetically modified crops.

It was there that the German-speaking Augustinian monk worked out the basic laws of inheritance by painstakingly cross-breeding thousands of pea plants.

Other scientific leaders associated with the city include Ernst Mach – whose work resulted in the Mach numbers used to gauge supersonic speed – and Viktor Kaplan, inventor of the Kaplan water turbine. The new International Clinical Research Centre will be one of the EU’s largest biotech and medical research projects and will showcase new projects aimed at luring researchers and biotech companies, officials say.

“There aren’t many centres in the world that offer the combination of basic science to preclinical research to development of drugs, devices and technologies,” said Dr. Tomas Kara, the centre’s chief, who is also a researcher at the Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota. When it gets fully up and running in 2010, the facility will provide the tools and training to help scientists from around the world more quickly turn their ideas in the lab into drugs and technologies people can use, Kara said.

High ambitions
Current projects at the clinic, which will focus mainly on heart disease, neurosciences and oncology, include a computer programme to prescribe drugs based on a person’s genetic profile. So far researchers from the Mayo clinic and Brno have published 14 papers and won three US patents for medical devices, including one to better monitor the relationship between the brain and heart.

A primary goal is developing new technologies like these and conducting independent medical research – rather than drug development – and providing resources for scientists to conduct their studies in Brno and then return to their home country, Kara said. “It will work on the same concept as the international space station, which means adjusting the centre based on the needs of each project,” said Kara. “We want to bring the best scientists in the world to one place. We hope that one day Brno could be the Silicon Valley of medicine and biotechnology.”

Addressing tax cuts and tax traps

The central feature of the 2008 corporate tax reform was the reduction of the corporation tax rate, from 25 percent to 15 percent. The trade tax calculations have also been revised, leading to an effective reduction of this tax, too – from some 18-20 percent in large cities for 2007 to around 15-17 percent in 2008. The composite rate for all taxes on income for 2008 has effectively fallen to a range of 30∞33 percent, 30.2 percent in Berlin, 32 percent in Frankfurt and 33 percent in Munich. The corresponding range in 2007 was 39-41 percent, i.e. the burden has fallen by eight or nine percentage points.

A rate range of 30-33 percent, while certainly not low, is not particularly high in the international comparison. From this point of view, Germany can be said to have significantly improved her tax climate, especially as she has never sought to compete with tax havens.

The aim of the tax reforms was to send a signal that Germany welcomes foreign investment and, from now on, is not going to tax the results at rates higher than those found in many other industrialised nations. However, the reforms were also not to cost more than €5 bn in terms of lost tax revenue. In a total budget of €283 bn, €5 bn is not a large sum – hardly enough to send out a very convincing signal.

Anti-abuse measures
Another feature of the reforms is the transformation of anti∞abuse measures into revenue raisers, especially those curbing the sale of tax loss companies and restricting the deductibility of interest paid to shareholders. There is also a new provision to tax a deemed gain on the transfer of a business function abroad. Through these reforms it seems that – at least for the present – the circle has been squared, although no one knows for how long the system will hold. Moving functions around the world as needed to keep a corporate structure slender is not necessarily a tax abuse. However, for Germany it is a reason to levy exit taxes.

Since the 1980s, when the loss carry∞forward limitation of five years was abolished, the sale of tax∞loss companies – that is, of companies whose only asset is a loss carry forward – has been considered an abuse. Various attempts have been made to curb it. Up to 1997, the loss carry∞forward was forfeited upon the acquisition of three∞quarters of the share capital of a dormant company by an acquirer, followed by a restart of business operations using substantially new assets. Arguably, any construction caught by this provision was abusive, at least in the sense that the business operation making the loss was unlikely to be similar to that claiming relief on recovery.

In 1997, the rules were changed to reduce the minimum share transfer to one of more than 50 percent and to extend the harmful injection of substantially new assets to businesses continuing in operation. This tightening of the rules, even then, was mostly driven by revenue∞raising considerations. Certainly, the 1997 provision has made corporate reorganisations substantially more complex, and has rendered attempts to save failing businesses – risky in any case – substantially more costly. On the other hand, the change in shareholder was restricted to the immediate shareholders, and consequently changes in ultimate group ownership on, for example, a successful takeover of a company publicly quoted on the New York stock exchange, were not impeded by a German regulation.

For 2008 the rules have been entirely recast. If more than 50 percent of the shares are acquired by a single shareholder over a five∞year period, the entire loss carry∞forward is forfeited. If the combined acquisition is more than 25 percent, but not more than 50 percent, the loss carry∞forward will be cut in proportion to the share transfer. Injections of capital and restarts, or continuations, of business are no longer relevant and a related∞party rule now ensures that a German loss will be curtailed or forfeit on any share acquisition of more than 25 percent at any level in the corporate chain of shareholdings, and regardless of whether the transfer is temporary or permanent, or of whether it is within the group or to an outside party.

Thus we no longer have an anti∞abuse provision, but a money-maker in its own right. Unfortunately, the taxable event, the share transfer, does not of itself generate the income needed to cover the tax cost, and, equally unfortunately, it is often dependent upon occurrences far beyond the control or influence – or even the knowledge – of local management.

Unsuccessful foreign takeover bids, involving the assembly of a significant holding on a foreign stock exchange, followed by its disposal shortly afterwards when the bid fails, can easily leave the German subsidiary with its loss∞recovery plan in ruins. Corporate reorganisations are now only feasible where German losses are insignificant. Transferring ownership in a family business to the next generation can be a nightmare despite plans for inheritance tax incentives to keep family businesses within the family. Outside attempts to save troubled businesses will benefit the government sooner than the new owners. On the other hand, there is a growing realisation that not all loss relief claims under new ownership are abusive, and the Bundesrat has requested an amendment to the Annual Tax Bill 2009 to preserve the loss carry∞forwards for offset against future profits earned from an existing potential.       

Loan interest
Until 2007 a thin capital rule disallowed the interest paid on a shareholder loan, to the extent that the loan exceeded one∞and∞a∞half times the shareholder’s portion of the equity in the company. This rule has now been changed to disallow the entire net interest expense in excess of 30 percent of EBITDA. Small businesses are exempt by the condition that this ‘interest limitation’ rule does not apply to taxpayers with a net interest expenditure of up to €1m. Further exemptions also exist in favour of borrowings by non∞group companies or by group companies with a debt/equity ratio of no more than one percentage point higher than that of the group as a whole. However, these exceptions are generally only applicable to outside finance. Loans from shareholders of more than 25 percent of the equity only qualify, where the interest paid to the shareholder in question is not more than 10 percent of the total net interest expense. Interest in excess of the limitation can be carried forward, thus offering the prospect of ultimate relief when a company’s profitability rises to a level beyond which outside finance is no longer needed. In this day and age, that level of profitability is unattainable for most companies.
The government’s intention was to hinder attempts to convert profits to interest, thereby moving the place of taxation from Germany to the home of the foreign creditor, by financing a German venture with a loan, rather than with equity. What it has also achieved is to disrupt the smooth operation of cash∞pooling systems and centralised corporate treasury functions, to seriously impede group reorganisations, to penalise businesses with fluctuating capital requirements and to hinder attempts to match the profits from an acquisition with the costs of financing it.

Transfers of business functions
The transfer of business functions does not fall into quite the same category. Here the revenue∞raising aspect comes to the fore. The government sees a business organisation as something semi∞permanent, that is, subject to change on the basis of a conscious management decision. The idea of flexible reaction to the needs of the moment without regard to national borders is at the heart of EU thinking, but disturbing to the concept of ‘unharmonised’ local taxation by member states. In principle, the idea is that developing a business function takes time and money that is mostly written off to current expense. Once developed, the function has value as a viable business unit that cannot easily be reproduced. Is it moved abroad, a third party acquirer would be prepared to pay an arm’s length price for it – i.e. its market value. This leads to a gain, corresponding to the value of the intangible, built up with costs already deducted as expenses. Consequently, this gain should be taxed.

Whilst this taxation does not seem unreasonable at first sight, one has to consider that the value of the intangible at the time of transfer has (like most other investments in projects of uncertain outcome) little to do with the cost of establishing it. Perhaps more significant, though, is the objection that the transfer of functions within a group does not involve outside parties. Taxing a deemed gain means demanding a tax payment before the income has been earned. Leaving the function where it is will avoid the payment, but may not be efficient, and can therefore be detrimental to the long-term benefit of the company.

An illegal ‘exit tax’?
One view of the tax on the transfer of functions is that it is an ‘exit tax’, and potentially in contravention of Community Law. However, it is difficult to state with certainty that something is contrary to EC Law until the ECJ has passed judgment on the issue. There has not yet been a directly relevant case – taxing transfers of functions is not a new concept, but is new to the statute books of most countries – although it is difficult to see how taxing a transfer of a function to another EU country can be anything but a restriction on the company’s freedom of establishment.

One argument for the tax would seem to lie in the national interest in securing the right to tax on ultimate disposal of the asset. However, this argument is weak in EU Law as it is dependent upon there being no other, less onerous way of achieving the same legitimate object. Even assuming the object to be legitimate, a less onerous way would seem to be available in establishing the deemed gain upon transfer, but deferring taxation until the asset is sold to a third party or leaves the EU.

This, for example, is currently the practice in respect of significant shareholdings in German companies held by individuals who choose to move to another country within the EU, following an ECJ ruling against a French obligation to provide a bank guarantee to secure payment of the ‘exit tax’ potentially due later when the shares were sold (ECJ judgment C-9/02 de Lasteyrie du Saillant of March 11th, 2004). In many cases, there will be no real opportunity to offset the German ‘exit tax’ in the new location. Apart from the fact that the German calculation of the deemed gain – laid down in some detail in a Transfer of Functions Order – might not be accepted in the other country, one would normally expect the acquiring entity to capitalise the intangible and to write it off over its expected useful life. Tax relief would generally follow the amortisation period under the new country’s rules, and in this regard some countries are more generous than others.

Germany, for example would, in most cases, insist on an amortisation period of 15 years, and some countries do not give relief for the amortisation of intangibles at all. At best, a company is faced with an immediate payment with the corresponding relief spread over a period stretching into the distant future, which is not an appealing prospect!

Deemed gain
Since the German calculation of the deemed gain seems to follow normal commercial logic, one might be forgiven for assuming that it should, at least in principle, be acceptable abroad. However, the calculation does not in fact follow normal commercial logic, but rather the interests of the tax authorities in ensuring that all the uncertainty falls on the taxpayer. The calculation is based on the average between the value to the buyer and that to the seller, both values to be subject to a review clause in the light of actual developments following the transfer. Calculated this way, the transfer price includes the benefits of synergies and location of the buyer – something which a third party buyer would not normally accept. After all, the buyer’s motives are nothing to do with the seller.

The review and adjustment clause is understandable in the interests of fiscal control, but problematic in practice. The statement in the Order to the effect that third parties would agree on such a provision simply is not true. Applied to the presumption in the Order of a ten∞year adjustment period unless the taxpayer can show a shorter period to be appropriate in the circumstances, it becomes extreme. The commercial reality is that the buyer investigates the nature of the asset before he buys it and then assumes the risk of being unable to deploy it in the manner he intends.

Price adjustment clauses are sometimes found in contracts for the acquisition of entire businesses but even then are restricted to defined factors warranted by the buyer that the seller cannot immediately influence. These can include minimum sales levels for the next eighteen months, or that named major customers remain loyal to the company. The period is, naturally, limited to the time needed by the acquirer to get to know the company well enough to make his influence on business strategies felt. Ten years to achieve this is unrealistic. Given that the nature of an intangible changes with use – technological development is constant, and customers or their buying patterns change – one might expect the calculation to make assumptions in respect to the period before the intangible can be regarded as an acquirer’s own development. However, this is not the case. Instead, the calculation assumes an infinite period of future usefulness to the acquirer of the unchanged intangible, unless the German taxpayer can produce evidence showing otherwise.

OECD involvement
On September 19th 2008 the OECD released a discussion draft of a paper on “The Transfer Pricing Aspects of Business Restructurings” for public debate.  The paper aims to provide guidance to governments and business alike on the transfer pricing implications of international business restructurings involving the transfer of assets, risks, functions and opportunities around a group, i.e. between related parties. It is devoted to four aspects in particular, risk allocation between related parties, arm’s length compensation for the restructuring itself, application of the arm’s length principle to the post∞restructuring arrangements, and the “exceptional circumstance” of the refusal by a tax administration to accept a transaction or structure adopted by the taxpayer. Much of the OECD report covers the same subjects as the German Transfer of Functions Order, so one might be justified in hoping for a lively response from Germany to the OECD’s call for comments from the public by February 19th 2009.

A disincentive to inward investment?
If these deficiencies can be seen as a disincentive to inward investment, then largely it is for fear of not being able to withdraw afterwards if business circumstances warrant. As Mark Twain said, “It is easier not to get on the train, than to jump off.” Taxation is, of course, not the primary factor influencing an investment decision, but it is certainly one of the more important secondary considerations, particularly if geographical aspects are not predominant.

On the other hand, mobility is not everything. Stability has value, too. Not every company has long∞term losses, is under∞financed, or has its next location in mind when planning a move now. The reduction of the tax rates to an average level for Europe is certainly a clear message to business that the tax bill will not be exorbitant and that this attitude is an accurate reflection of the general tax climate  would seem clear from the other recent or planned tax changes. Investment income of private individuals is to be taxed at a flat rate of 25 percent in 2009, the double tax treaty with the USA has recently been amended – particularly noteworthy is the abolition of dividend withholding tax on dividends on 80 percent shareholdings – inheritance tax is to be reformed, especially with concessions to ease the succession of family businesses within the family. The tax scene is, though, as complicated as ever and there are still plenty of traps to be avoided. As ever, the only answer is careful planning.

The pole position – a blessing or a curse for FDI?

Slovenia’s business makeover has not been a bumpy ride experienced by other economies in transition at the beginning of the 1990s. Slovenian companies were a target for foreign interest as early as in the late 1970s thanks to Slovenia’s manufacturers of household appliances, cars and commercial vehicles, furniture and garments. Conveniently nestled between Austria and Italy, Slovenia has traditionally served as a gateway for exports to the discerning markets of West Europe even in former Yugoslavia.

Much has been done to boost the country’s attractiveness as a place to do business between Slovenia’s independence and today. The call for political action was backed within the framework of effort to become a full EU Member State and awareness that the Slovenian internal market was not fully integrated, which in turn meant a lack of competition in some sectors and increased operating costs for foreign investors.

Following the political consensus, liberalisation of the internal market has been built continuously since 2000 as the Slovenian economy become fully integrated with the EU economies, joined the EU in 2004, qualified for Eurozone and adopted the euro on January 1, 2007, and entered the EU Schengen in December 2007.

Adding value
Despite the country’s good economic performance, the government is committed to continuing efforts to improve micro-economic conditions to enhance GDP growth. This includes measures to increase competition by liberalising previously sheltered industries such as electricity, energy, telecommunications, and to dismantle administrative hurdles. In response to the critics quoting Slovenia’s excessive red tape and the shortage of land for industrial use, the Slovenian authorities got down to the business of changing the country’s business landscape attractive to foreign investors. Since 2000, registering a company in Slovenia has been greatly facilitated in many ways including electronic access to practically all public administration services, and the number of locations for property development and redevelopment to technological parks and economic zones has jumped.

When foreign investors consider locations to relocate or expand operations, the attractive tax regime of the eastern Alpine country bordering the Adriatic Sea is a reason to shortlist it. The present government deserves much of the credit for Slovenia’s tax reforms: a gradual corporate tax rate reduction aimed at promoting a pro-growth economy, phasing out of pay-roll tax, a relief on personal income tax. Tax allowances are in place for investment in research, technology and development, while greenfield foreign investment projects in manufacturing and sectors with high value added are eligible for financial incentives when they create new jobs. With tax revenue accounting for some 40 percent of GDP in 2005, Slovenia’s tax rates are lower than in many other European countries and converge with the EU27 average.

While traditionally taxes have been one of the key reasons for locating and investing away from home, transparent and stable political, legislative and administrative environment, the ease of getting about: good transport to airports, good rail links, availability of schools and good quality accommodation, as well as quality of life in general, should tip the scale in favour of Slovenia. The government’s ambition is to make Slovenia the leading European choice of international companies for locating international/European headquarters, an R&D centre, or a centre for administration and/or accounting functions. The government reforms have helped Slovenia’s economy increase its competitive edge and appeal to foreign investors without overheating the economy. Thanks to a wide-spread use of the first common financial reporting standard – IFRS – investors can compare statements produced in one country with those produced in another and exploit the advantages of mobile technology and broadband penetration where Slovenians themselves are early adopters both for business and private purposes. Today investors can benefit also from lower transaction costs arising from the single currency and the implementation of the Single Euro Payments Area (SEPA) where the current differentiation between national and cross-border payments no longer exists. This means that customers within the SEPA are able to make payments throughout the whole euro area as efficiently and safely, and above all at the same price, as in the national context today.

More ingredients for a recipe to attract FDI
Many Slovenians speak English, German and Italian and the Slovenian economy has all the attributes of an open and dynamic system without high leverage. Its budget revenues and expenditures are balanced, services generated 64.4 percent of GDP (2007 estimate) leaving industry behind (33.5 percent), gross fixed investment accounted for over 27 percent of GDP (2007 estimate), value added grew most in construction (well over 18 percent) followed by manufacturing (slightly more than 8 percent). Financial intermediation, trade and transport enjoyed high growth rates, and the only figure to spoil the picture of prosperity was the fact that in 2007 consumer prices increased by 5.6 percent.

In other words, the level of external debt is sustainable leaving room for more private equity and M&A activity. The Resolution on National Development Projects for the Period 2007-2023 lists several national projects worth some €24bn of which some €15m in private equity through public-private partnership.

In conclusion, although foreign direct investment (FDI) is generally perceived a source of economic development and modernisation, income growth and employment, it should truly be a ‘win-win’ situation for both the investor and the recipient country. Over the past seven years, Slovenia has established a transparent and effective enabling policy environment for investment and has built the human and institutional capacities to attract foreign investors. If its FDI stock appears modest in comparison with other CEE countries, it has something to do with the proverbial prudency of its people and their system of values where diligence and loyalty go hand-in-hand with creativity and innovation that are often key to the success of a business. A good pole position seems to make people more prudent and more environment-concerned. In the long run, it should be good for the investor and the host country.

Why invest in Slovenia?
A strategic location as a bridge between Western Europe and the Balkan States boasting strong levels of efficiency and productivity.

A well developed transport infrastructure both on dry land and through the sea port at Koper to serve some of Europe’s major transit routes.

A proficient and skilled labour force boasting a high degree of IT and technological prowess, from electronics to financial services.

All attributes to become a location of choice of international companies for international or European headquarters, an R&D centre, or a centre for administration/accounting functions

Slovenian Ministry of the Economy identifies development priorities
The priorities of the Slovenian EU Presidency in the field of energy, telecommunications and industrial policy – sustainability, competitiveness and security of energy supply with focus on the internal gas and electricity markets, renewable energy sources, energy technology and external energy policy. Energy and waste management offer a host of opportunities for foreign investors (PPP).

The Resolution on National Development Projects for the Period 2007-2023 lists several national projects worth some €24bn of which some €15m in private equity through public-private partnership.

The areas of wholesale and retail trading such as in electronics and garments, as well as consultancy services remain investors’ favourites, but further opportunities exist in sectors such as IT, pharmaceuticals, banking, insurance and telecommunications. Niche sectors and boutique companies may not be high-profile but thanks to specialisation stand to fare better than large household names that often lack flexibility in meeting customers’ needs. From electronic components to sailing boats, from racing skis to roulettes, from ultra-light aircraft to motor exhaust systems – these are some of the products ‘Made in Slovenia’ that do not fear competitors.

Efforts to improve macro-economic conditions to boost GDP growth and attract FDI have delivered the following preliminary figures for 2007:

GDP growth                    6.1 percent
GDP (at current prices)      €33,542m
GDP per capita                     €16,616
Exports growth                 13 percent
Imports growth              14.1 percent
Employment growth         2.7 percent

Exeter: A better climate for business

A thriving commercial and administrative centre, Exeter is also an exciting and inspiring place in which to live and work. It has been and continues to be one of the most important leaders and drivers of economic growth. It is no surprise that world-class organisations like the Met Office have moved to enjoy the city’s excellent opportunities for state-of-the-art accommodation, high standard of recruits, transport links and first-class lifestyle. Operational and accommodation costs are very competitive. Recent significant investments include the £225m city centre Princesshay development, transforming the city’s retail and evening economies. The city is home to a diverse range of regional or national headquarters, including amongst others EDF Energy, Pennon Group, Friends Provident, Flybe and BT.

Characteristics of Exeter’s workforce are loyalty, flexibility and educational attainment above the national average. Salary levels are competitive and being here provides employers with the proven advantage of attracting high-calibre staff drawn locally and from further afield. This is also an effective place to recruit bright, young graduates, with over 20,000 people in further education and post-graduate education in the city. Employment numbers are up nearly 40 percent since 1998.

The University of Exeter and the Peninsula Medical School have gained awards for their pioneering work with national and international partners. New developments further building the progressive nature of the city include a Science Park prominently located on the M5/A30 interchange, the rapidly expanding Exeter International Airport, Skypark, the area’s newest strategic employment site and Cranbrook – a new well-planned urban community. The recently opened University Innovation Centre provides accommodation and support for up to 50 knowledge-based organisations.

MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS
Joint working between Exeter and East Devon Councils, the County Council and the South West of England Regional Development Agency has strengthened the pace of change on the eastern side of the city. Major developments being progressed include:

EXETER SCIENCE PARK
A partnership between the University, Met Office, South West of England Regional Development Agency, Exeter City Council, East Devon District Council and Devon County Council are progressing plans to deliver the 25 hectare Science Park, near junction 29 of the M5 Exeter. When complete, this will position the local economy at the forefront of technological and scientific research and demonstrate the quality of life, scientific and innovative capacity and ambitions of the city of Exeter and the wider region.

BUSINESS PARK – SKYPARK
Complementing the role of the Science Park, the 37 hectare Skypark will provide extensive modern office and industrial space facilitating some 7,000 additional jobs near Exeter International Airport, close to the motorway and the planned inter-modal rail freight terminal.

PRINCESSHAY
Princesshay opened just before Christmas 2007, adding to the diversity of the city’s 300 independent retailers and many national names. Land Securities invested £225m and created 530,000 sq ft of retail space and residential apartments, including sixty new shops and restaurants providing more choice, visitors and jobs. Princesshay is pivotal in reinforcing the city’s position as a prosperous vibrant city and prominent regional centre.

BUSINESS COMMUNITY
Exeter and its sub-region is a great place to do business. Every organisation can be part of a close and supportive public and private community which continues to be instrumental in the city being amongst the most economically successful in the country. You’ll join a significant number of regional and national employers located here. There are also many other businesses offering professional services to the region, nationally and internationally.

COMMUNICATIONS
A first-class telecommunications network serves the area, capable of meeting the needs of any organisation. There are also good reliable road and rail links. Exeter International Airport serves a wide range of UK and European destinations as well as a number of international hub airports.

UNIVERSITY OF THE YEAR
As a top-20 university, Exeter University caters for some 11,000 students and gained acclaim as the Times Higher Education University of the Year 2007. Particular specialisms are IT, multimedia, healthcare, engineering – including engineering of ‘smart materials’ – electronics, biotechnology including systems biology, the environment including climate change impact, business, leadership management and international finance. Research at the Peninsula Medical School focuses on several specialised areas including cancer, heart disease, diabetes, environmental influences on health and innovations in clinical education.

LOCATION MATTERS
Exeter and its sub region does provide a better business climate. Meeting your location and operational needs matters to us. You can search our on-line commercial property register for an insight into the array of sites and buildings available at www.exeterandtheheartofdevon.org.uk.

Do bear in mind that there is a wide choice of citywide locations including prestigious city centre settings, modern out-of-town business parks and the potential of new sites. Conversely, if it’s important to your organisation, within the city’s wider area you can find accessible sites and buildings in attractive market town and rural settings. Information on typical rents and rates paid for prime offices in comparable cities is available to demonstrate this among other cost advantages.

The travel to work area genuinely can boast high levels of attainment in its state primary and secondary schools, including some national leaders. Additionally, the area is well served by a range of prestigious private schools. Within Exeter, all of the High Schools moved into new buildings in 2006 following an extensive building programme. Exeter, East Devon, South Devon and Bicton further
education colleges help many people of all ages to achieve outstanding results and progress towards their aspirations.

LIVING HERE
We know from experience that it is easier to attract and retain staff if their other interests are well catered for. Exeter is close to many areas of outstanding natural beauty with Dartmoor, Exmoor, many river valleys, market towns, villages and superb coastlines and seascapes within easy reach. Exmouth marks the start of the World Heritage site of the Jurassic Coast and is just one of many local beaches.

With an extensive range of leisure facilities, a year-long programme of festivals, and many live entertainment/music venues, there’s always something to satisfy a very wide range of interests. As far as shopping is concerned, Exeter has an excellent mix of small interesting shops and quality national names. Exeter is recognised as one of the top 20 cities in the UK to eat out, and in the wider area you’ll find award winning restaurants, food festivals, markets and vineyards.

A move can provide real opportunities for your organisation to become more effective in many different ways. If you are considering a move we will work with you throughout the whole process. We also do not walk away once your decision is made and our support can be intensive but bespoke. We can organise early site visits and introductions, data provision, supporting board reports, introductions to the business community and work closely with you on staff consultation, communication or relocation.

We’ll support you by providing advice on everything from housing issues to getting children into schools, and help communicate the advantages of the area to your staff. In other words, we will work with you where it is important to realising your objectives and plans.

FURTHER INFORMATION:
tel +44 (0)1392 265134
invest@exeter.gov.uk
www.exeter.gov.uk
fax +44 (0)1392 265625

Centre of excellence trains to gain

ESSEC Business School’s pioneering nature has helped it become a
reference for Executive Education. Since the very start it has set
itself the goal of developing personal skills in the managers that take
its courses and, at corporate level, of supporting companies going
through periods of change. The success of this mission is reflected in
recent international rankings, with the Financial Times rating ESSEC’s
Executive Education programmes eighth in Europe. Backed by such positive
results, ESSEC continues to develop its existing programmes and create
new ones in direct response to market and corporate change.

The participation of top-level professors and representatives of the
professional world serves as proof that ESSEC’s Executive Education
programmes successfully combine the best in management research with the
actual application of skills and knowledge within companies.

For over 20 years now, ESSEC has focused much of its energies on
international developments, committing to partnerships with the very
best business schools around the world and setting up joint programmes
with Keio (Japan), Mannheim (Germany) and Ahmedabad (India), amongst
others.

In the current climate of globalisation and accelerated growth of the
Asian markets, ESSEC is in the process of expanding the range of
programmes available on its Singapore campus. The main objective is to
target European companies wishing to set up or develop subsidiaries in
Asia as well as companies of Asian origin. These include customised
Executive Education programmes devised with Korea, India, and China.

Executive education package
ESSEC offers close to 100 training programmes to 6,000 managers and
executives per year. Some of these programmes have been designed
specifically for companies (including SNCF, Thales, Groupama, Essilor,
Eiffage, Grant Thornton, Deutsche Telekom and Renault).

Programmes are delivered from the ESSEC Executive Education campus at La
Défense, at the heart of the Paris business district. All programmes
are available on a part-time basis, making them entirely compatible with
working life.

The Executive MBA is developed in partnership with the University of
Mannheim. It is designed for high potential individuals wishing to
improve their understanding of the challenges provoked by globalisation
and enhance their chances of accessing positions of high responsibility.
The ESSEC & Mannheim Executive MBA is structured so as to combine
theoretical knowledge and practical application, and features individual
and group work as well as the sharing of experience by participants.

Advanced Management Programmes are designed for experienced managers
wishing to obtain additional management skills, and acquire the
transversal view of a company required for strategic planning and
development. Certain Advanced Management Programmes are run jointly with
prestigious partner institutions, including the Indian Institute of
Management in Ahmedabad, and are focused on sector-specific expertise
(including Leadership and Performance Management in partnership with the
Hay Group, Luxury Brand Management, Distribution, Media and
Entertainment, and the Hospitality industry).

ESSEC offers a comprehensive range of Advanced Master’s programmes in
response to the demand of companies for highly-qualified experts with
dual-disciplinary training.

The Advanced Master’s in International Business is ranked 5th Master’s
in Management in Europe by the Financial Times and comprises a
specialised educational programme concentrated on top-level
international management. Three tracks are available as part of the
programme: Asian, American, and South-American. These have been devised
in partnership with three major international institutions: Tec de
Monterrey, Thunderbird and Queen’s in Canada, as well as ESSEC’s own
Singapore campus.

Short-length programmes are designed and run by top-level external
contributors. These programmes offer managers and executives the
opportunity to consolidate their core knowledge and skills and fine-tune
the expertise required of their position. The programmes also assist
managers in developing their career trajectory. The areas covered
comprise Asset Management, Corporate Governance, Negotiation, Luxury
Brand Management, Personal Development and Professional Efficiency (all
delivered in one or three-day seminar formats), and Commercial
Development Marketing, Operational Management, Finance Management
Control and Human Resources (all delivered in three, six, or nine-day
module formats).

Customised Company Programmes are designed and set up in partnership
with prestigious management institutes, European universities, heads of
Development Management and training programme heads. The companies
decide the place at which the programmes take place. Each programme is
designed to meet the specific objectives of the companies, which may
include: strategic steering of a business unit, consolidation of
corporate culture, leadership development, Human Resources etc.
Participants in these programmes include operational managers,
high-potential individuals and executives.

Further information
: ESSEC Executive Education http://formation.essec.fr; eme@essec.fr

Opening the gates

Ukraine might be a country with a number of perceived problems, but its size – at least in a European context – means it is also a country which few can afford to ignore. Most important perhaps, it’s a young country. This is the main reason why savvy investors are being attracted to it, with foreign direct investment (FDI) reaching about $4.3bn in 2007, bringing the total since independence in 1991 to $21.2bn.

Figures show that the largest receiving end for FDI in 2007 was Ukraine’s financial sector. Much of the inflow activity in this sector came from a handful of merger and acquisition deals through which Ukrainian tycoons sold their banking operations to European financial groups for top dollar.

Increased FDI has also been seen in engineering, manufacturing, consumer goods, telecommunications, pharmaceuticals, and mining and processing.

Remarkably, FDI began to increase at the time of political upheaval. Ukraine’s turbulent politics notwithstanding, international investors remain highly confident in the market’s opportunities and seem to be willing to continue investing. In fact, political uncertainty in Ukraine has not had the impact on FDI that many might have expected. This is because FDI was at a low level to begin with and therefore has plenty of room for growth.

Anatole Klepatsky, chief executive officer and partner of Golden Gate Business, a Kiev-based firm which specialises in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in Ukraine, says now is the time to consider getting a foot on the ladder in Ukraine. “It’s a big country with a population of 46 million. That means it’s a country of opportunities.” Until 2000 Ukraine underperformed, but is now in a position to play catch-up. “It’s the right time,” said Mr Klepatsky. “There’s no doubt that the growth potential is there.”

Mr Klepatsky is in an ideal position to judge. Golden Gate Business is a premier Ukrainian M&A advisory firm with proven execution capabilities. It provides objective and independent advice to help clients achieve their goals and increase the value of their businesses. In 2007, Golden Gate Business executed transactions with the total deal value over $800m.

“We try to provide a service in areas that we know such as telecommunications, consumer products and building materials. It’s only by handling the areas we are very familiar with that we can offer such a high level of service. We do not touch oil or gas, for instance. These areas are very difficult because so much of what happens is politically motivated.”

FDI is vital because the more Ukraine has, the better the country, said Mr Klepatsky. “Foreign investors bring their methods and their ideas and for a young country like Ukraine that can only be a positive development. The multinationals are active in Ukraine because they realise it’s a developing market. But there’s more to it than just making money. FDI also gives Ukraine a direct link to the way these companies operate.”

One cloud on the horizon is the effect that inflation, which topped 26 percent in March, might have on the economy and FDI. Ukrainian officials put much of the blame for the current spike in inflation on global food price rises, and also energy price rises caused by sharp hikes in charges for imported gas.

It’s a problem, said Mr Klepatsky, but while the risk of recession is there it’s very unlikely. There are reasons for this bullish view. The government has, in reality, done a solid fiscal job. State finances are generally in good shape, with public debt at just 11 percent of GDP. According to the National Bank of Ukraine, international reserves have grown steadily and now stand at $33bn. Gross domestic product (GDP) has been growing strongly at seven percent, while the exchange rate against the US dollar has remained almost unchanged. The average wage in the country has grown by more than 30 percent since October 2006 and grew by 5.2 percent in one month, September 2007.

New champions
The easing of restrictions on Ukraine’s economy and the resulting economic growth has been partly responsible for the rise of successful domestic companies, the so called “new champions.” These companies are changing the business landscape because they are innovative, they make the domestic market more competitive and are socially responsible in ways that communist-era behemoths were not. “It’s the same at Golden Gate,” said Mr Klepatsky. “We are privately owned, which means we are fast and quick, and not afraid to innovate.”

In previous years M&A market value was driven mainly by a small number of large deals over $1bn and a large number of small domestic deals under $5m. In 2008 there has been considerable growth in mid-market deals of between $50m and $500m.

As with any cross-border deal, investors need to weigh political and business risks. Political risks are always a concern for any cross-border transaction because regulatory issues can make or break the deal. However, given Ukraine’s growth potential, the question is not “should we enter the market?” – but rather “how can we manage the risks?”

For mid-sized and large deals, concerns over political risk highlight the need for a local partner. For more straightforward deals, a company still needs a local advisor, who knows how the government makes decisions and handles approvals and who can expedite the deal. Even multi-million-dollar investments can be delayed simply because a foreign investor does not know how to find his way through the maze of Ukrainian bureaucracy.

“A high standard of due diligence is absolutely vital, which is where Golden Gate can help,” Mr. Klepatsky said. “Our experience shows that several M&A deals in former Soviet countries delivers disappointing results due to poor due diligence. Good due diligence needs to look into strategic, operational, financial, legal and tax issues. It is critical to have a team of specialists who can carry through the whole process from pre∞deal negotiation to deal execution.”

Confident about the future
Golden Gate handles about 10 such M&A deals a year, concentrating on the business areas it knows and working with clients through the whole process from origination to closing. The company’s advantages include its in-depth understanding of local industries, markets and the regulatory environment, as well as its high level of access to key industry players.

“Clearly there are a number of economic areas where improvement would be welcome, but things are definitely changing and we feel very confident about the future,” Mr Klepatsky said. “Government stability is needed and new fiscal laws are needed to end some of the confusion that exists. But for a young country we have come a long way in a short time.”

The legal framework for FDI has improved and Ukrainian law now protects foreign direct investments in a variety of ways. Some allow for the full repatriation of profits, invested capital and the wages of expatriate employees in hard currency, once taxes and other debts have been paid. If nationalisation or expropriation takes place, Ukrainian law guarantees quick hard currency compensation of the full amount that was invested. It also provides a 10-year guarantee against changes in legislation that could damage foreign investors in any way.

Overall, Ukraine has taken significant steps, focusing on five main points to help in attracting FDI; admission and establishment, ownership and control, operational conditions, foreign exchange controls, and incentives. If the government succeeds in creating a lasting stable environment, and continues its policy of seeking closer integration with western Europe, Ukraine will see growth levels that will exceed anything that has gone before.

Further information: www.goldengate.com.ua

Betting on a bright future

While the modern global economy is a highly competitive environment to do business in, some companies are thriving and expanding rapidly. Many of these companies are members of an exclusive club, the World Economic Forum’s community of Global Growth Companies, and look set to play an important role in shaping the new economy. A good example is Intralot, a firm operating in the gaming industry, supplying state-of-the-art integrated gaming and transaction processing systems, innovative game content and sports betting management to state licensed gaming organisations worldwide.

The community of Global Growth Companies consists of companies that are expanding outside their traditional boundaries, experience growth rates exceeding 15 percent year-on-year, have revenues typically between $100m and $2bn and have demonstrated leadership in their industry.

Global growth
Judging by its performance Intralot is clearly a deserving member of this illustrious group of companies, complying with all the criteria. “We have the highest organic growth in our sector, with an average sales growth of 38.5 percent during the last four years,” says Constantinos Antonopoulos, CEO of Intralot. “In 2008, our revenues will reach the $1.8bn mark. At the same time the company is rapidly expanding into all five continents and currently present in over 45 countries, with a workforce of more than 4,400 skilled employees, generating growth and employment all over the world.”

One of the world’s leading companies in the gaming sector, Intralot has managed to win the majority of tenders procured globally over the past three years.

“Expansion is an ongoing process for us,” says Mr. Antonopoulos. “Our growth strategy involves the expansion to new markets globally, taking advantage of three major drivers: the tendency towards the liberalisation of the lottery market worldwide; the legalisation of the gaming market, mainly in the vast Asian continent; plus the forthcoming privatisations of national lotteries, mainly in the US, but also in other countries around the world.”

Indeed, Intralot is the only European company in its sector that has managed to enter the USA market, and having already signed contracts as technology providers to six state lotteries, it is also interested in acquiring licenses to operate state lotteries itself.

Mr. Antonopoulos believes that a number of factors have been instrumental in maintaining the company’s tremendous growth record. These are characteristics that Intralot shares with other high performing businesses in the new economy.

One factor is the company’s focus on the consumer, in an age where consumers are increasingly demanding. “One reason for our excellent reputation in the global gaming sector is down to our commitment to meeting our customer requirements and performance expectations,” says Mr. Antonopoulos. “We have demonstrated a unique ability to adapt to new markets and overcome technological and cultural constraints. This is something that is highly appreciated by our customers.”

Given the fact that the company is operating in a socially sensitive sector, the firm has been keen to guarantee to stakeholders, either as a technology provider or as a lottery operator, that gaming practices are kept secure and responsible, keeping gaming as a means of entertainment only. This sensitivity to the interests of stakeholders, whether it is through environmental or socially responsible business practices, is another factor that marks out some of today’s fast∞growing successful businesses.

Mr. Antonopoulos suggests a number of key ingredients for effective growth that are characteristics of the company. “Innovation and medium-term vision are extremely important. Vision should be something you cannot touch with your hand, that’s neither too far nor too close; something that is achievable and regularly redefined,” says Mr. Antonopoulos.

“When Intralot started in 1992 we never imagined that we would reach the top of the global gaming industry. But even when you become a leader in your market it is important to keep raising your standards, we are constantly trying to improve our performance, and increase our innovation. Commitment to work is also important, as are fast decision-making processes. Keeping up with the vertiginous pace of the global markets is part of Intralot’s culture.”
Another integral part of the Intralot business is the firm’s vision and values, both of which contribute to the company’s success, says Mr. Antonopoulos, fostering both customer and employee engagement and loyalty.

Winning the game
Despite the company’s impressive growth record, Intralot has no plans to take its foot of the accelerator. In terms of technology, notes Mr. Antonopoulos, new channels and media for gaming are opening up new business opportunities. The challenge for the industry is to design new games to match the new technology.

“It is not enough to view the new channels just in terms of distribution. New games should test skills and be companionable at the same time,” says Mr. Antonopoulos. “This is the future: people socialising on the net or on mobiles, with real∞time games. Such projects need heavy investments in research and development, an area where Intralot is a true pioneer.”

The gaming industry is going through a period of considerable upheaval and there are, no doubt, significant changes and challenges ahead. Even so, Mr. Antonopoulos has the expansion plans for Intralot, and the markets and business areas the company is targeting, well mapped out.

“There’s the natural growth as the lottery sector becomes part of the wider world of entertainment,” he says. “Casinos too are part of this entertainment, such as those in Las Vegas. Increasingly, gaming is taking place on alternative channels, such as mobile phones and TV. This is what is changing the landscape of the industry, which has traditionally been about Lotto games, scratch tickets, and sports betting. A decade from now, people will be talking about ‘Entergaming’ as a new variant of entertaining. And that’s where we’re heading.”

Intralot’s membership of the community of global growth companies is only likely to improve the firm’s prospects. As a member of the community it will benefit from a programme of structured content, delivered by strategic partners of the forum, as well as informal, peer-to-peer exchanges of experiences and best practices.

As for the next year and beyond, Mr. Antonopoulos is optimistic about the outlook for the firm: “One thing is for sure, there is an exciting future out there for the gaming industry and Intralot is ready for the game ahead.”<

Further information: www.intralot.com

Primed for growth

We joined the WEF as a GGC because being part of this group will enable us to join forces with other companies, share ideas and experiences and propel us forward to tackle the challenges of new markets and cultures. 

As a global business we need to be prepared for the regulatory systems that face us as we enter new countries to enable us to play our part in their social and economic development.

As such, being part of the WEF positions us well to learn from colleagues and contribute to best practice to ensure that when we enter a new country we make it a success and so can continue to expand our horizons and keep pushing forward our offering to consumers across the continents.

We qualify to be members of the WEF because we are continuing to expand into new markets and are witnessing significant growth year on year and so the team is leading the way in the international Home Credit industry.

International Personal Finance is focused on emerging markets, rather than developed economies. This is because they offer the prospect of high growth and excellent returns. Our product, home credit, is a very good product for entry into emerging markets because it’s simple and operates through personal relationships between the agent and the customer.

Corporate social responsibility
Although we are not governed by the Financial Services Authority as we do not trade in the UK, we have nevertheless begun to adopt their Treating Customers Fairly (TCF) initiative into the fabric of our business, embedding our Vision and Values through the TCF principles and living and breathing our core values of being responsible, straight forward and respectful.

We are currently conducting a gap analysis examining our current processes and the TCF principles and identifying areas where we need to amend our policy or improve our delivery. This process is rigorous and entails a full examination of our business model.

The next step will then involve an audit of the findings of the gap analysis and the development of a programme to evolve the business to a position where we have embedded the principles and our values into the business.
Earlier this year we were happy to report that following review as a stand alone company, International Personal Finance had been included in the FTSE4Good index.

The FTSE4Good measures the performance of companies that meet globally recognised corporate responsibility standards. Inclusion in this index is important as it is a reference point for investors looking to for socially responsible stocks. Operating as a responsible company is at the heart of what we do. We believe proactively seeking to treat our employees, customers and communities well is key to the success of our business.

Being a member of this highly regarded index sends a powerful message to investors and other stakeholders about our company’s commitment to responsible business practice. Investors are increasingly concerned with the management of social, environmental and ethical risks and our inclusion in this index demonstrates we have good policies and systems in place.

Diversifying funding sources
We are currently funded through to the spring of 2010 and are looking at diversifying funding sources over the medium term. We have recently announced increasing dividend in line with our strategy. We are highly capitalised but believe this to be a prudent position in the current financial climate.

Investment in technology
We have also invested heavily in new technology, recently selecting Experian to improve the financial performance of our customer relationships, through the use of the Probe application and behaviour scoring systems. Probe makes full use of customer data held by IPF to create an insight into behaviours and motivations and enables us to optimise the relationship. Going forwards Probe will enable the IPF credit risk management teams to have clear visibility of strategies and quickly deploy changes. Probe SM will help us to determine the right product, terms and other customer service opportunities that will satisfy our customers as well as our business objectives.

Current performance
We are pleased with our performance in the first half, with steady growth, good credit quality and tight cost control driving strong underlying growth in profits. We are well funded and the favourable Central European foreign exchange rates we have locked in for the second half will continue to provide a substantial uplift. We have made good progress in our first year as an independent group and expect to make further good progress in the second half. On July 23rd we announced to the City a first half profit before tax up by 39 percent to £22.1m and a Central European profit before tax up 37.9 percent. Mexico is continuing to improve as expected with credit quality now as good as in Central Europe and we are on track for profit in 2009 and Romania is continuing to perform well. We are very pleased that our Russian bank is about to start offering home credit in the weeks to come. The second half of the year will see us reach two million customers; we expect this to be around October time.

Vision for the future
By 2010 we aim to have over three million customers and showing a Profit of in excess of £95m target for Central Europe. Mexico will have reached profit in 2009 and it will be the first year Romania is turning a profit. We believe by 2010 that our Russian pilot will be complete, and we will have rolled out in two regions and will have entered two new countries, probably Ukraine and India we believe these results will be reflected in our share price.<

Further information: www.ipfin.co.uk

Looking for a more tangible future

The jury is still out on the question of whether steps to create a single European market for investment regulation and financial services will be a revolutionary Big Bang, or just a damp squid. But one thing is clear: when it all becomes a reality later this year, many banks simply will not be ready.

The Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) is the cornerstone of the European Union’s Financial Services Action Plan and will transform the way in which EU financial markets operate. It will create a single market and regulatory regime for investment services across the European Economic Area, which is the EU plus Iceland, Norway and Liechtenstein.
The directive has three core objectives: to complete the process of creating a single EU market for investment services, to respond to changes and innovations that have occurred in securities markets, and to protect investors by making markets deeper, more competitive and more robust against fraud and abuse.
The big benefit for financial firms is that once they have been authorised to do business by their national regulator, they can use a MiFID ‘passport’ to provide services to customers in other EU member states. This means all investment banks, portfolio managers, stockbrokers/broker dealers and corporate finance firms will be able to provide cross-border services and establish branches without restriction. These services will be regulated in their home state, rather than the member state in which the service takes place. This means fewer regulators, and fewer rulebooks, to deal with.
There is also an opportunity for some large pan-European banks and investment firms to gain new business by becoming “Systematic Internalisers” – to use the jargon of MiFID ­– which means that those that have a large flow of client orders will be able to match those orders internally, rather than taking them to a stock exchange. Several banks have announced plans to join together and form their own exchange once MiFID goes live, which could undermine existing exchanges, if successful.

Suitability
If those are the carrots, there are big sticks, too. Firms will have to categorise their clients as ‘eligible counterparties,’ professional clients, or retail clients and show they have processes in place to assess their suitability for each type of investment product. There are also new rules on the information that banks have to collect when they take client orders so that regulators can ensure that a firm is acting in a client’s best interests. There are other measures aimed at making sure firms do the best for their clients.
The deadline for MiFID implementation is November of this year, but a recent study from Handysoft, a provider of business process management software, suggests that almost two thirds of European financial institutions do not expect to be ready in time. Even in a leading financial centre such as the UK, where financial institutions are in a relatively more advanced state of preparation, nearly a third are unlikely to comply in time.
On a positive note, the research highlighted that one in ten European financial organisations see “a great deal of overlap” between their MiFID implementations and other compliance tasks that they currently face, and a further quarter were discovering “a fair amount of overlap”. But that wasn’t the case for the majority.
These findings indicate a growing polarisation of financial firms into those using compliance as a platform for wider business process improvement, transparency and competitive reform, and those who regard compliance as a one-off ‘box-ticking’ exercise, the survey concluded. This could result in the competitive gap widening further between leaders and laggards in the European financial services industry.
“Many compliance preparations are behind schedule but it is not advisable to play a waiting game, as non-compliant firms could potentially lose business and attract regulator-imposed penalties, from fines to suspension of trading,” says Wendy Cohen, Sales and Operations Director at Handysoft. “But it is reputational damage which financial firms have most to fear, as the market is increasingly defined by reputation and customer service.”
Cohen says the IT implementation that supports MiFID compliance has become an increasingly major element of an investment company’s competitive differentiation. “Firms must seek to automate compliance processes, without which it is virtually impossible to prevent costs escalating to unsustainable levels,” she explains. “Importantly, utilising appropriate technology solutions should provide a valuable opportunity to explore areas of overlap with other business processes and turn the apparent burden of MiFID to wider business advantage.”
Yet to identify
However, the reality is that nearly two-thirds of financial services firms have yet to even finalise a budget to meet the cost of MiFID compliance. A survey published by software company SunGard found that 65 percent of firms either have no overall plan or are yet to fully identify MiFID-related budgets. However, despite this, general confidence remains high, with 80 percent of those questioned feeling that their firm remains on track with its MiFID preparations. The survey also revealed that of those respondents that had indicated making MiFID budget provisions, 50 percent have allocated less than €1m, while 18 percent have budgeted between €10m and €40m.
Overall opinion remains mixed as to whether MiFID is a good thing for Europe’s economy and there even seems to be a hardening of opinion against the directive. In the SunGard survey, 31percent thought that MiFID would not be in the European economy’s interests over the next five to ten years, 33percent were unsure about its effect, while 36percent thought that it would be good for the economy.
“We are on track with MiFID implementation, but there are several open questions about how the directive will be implemented that we are working on clarifying,” said Pablo Orbiso, Vice President at Citigroup Global Markets Limited, who participated in the survey. Citigroup has set aside a significant sum of next year’s budget to implement any MIFID related changes in order to adhere to the new rules by November 2007, he said. The forecast considers costs such as technology changes, training, legal and compliance. “Overall, we are viewing the project favourably because although it will have significant costs, the main benefits will be to simplify and unify the trading environment across Europe…that is, as long as the national regulators have a unified and consolidated interpretation of the key MiFID rules”, he concluded.
However, Sheena Kelman, Head of Dealing at Martin Currie Investment Management in Edinburgh, offered a different viewpoint: “The timing, for an automated solution, is getting very tight. Companies are unlikely to waste huge amounts of resource on final processes and systems, until the requirements are clear,” said Kelman. “The industry generally needs about an 18-month lead time to make really major changes to their processes. Unless the MiFID deadline changes, or the proposals are relatively straightforward, then the nearer we get to November 2007 the less likely it is that, however willing it is, the industry will be able to comply.”
Richard Thornton of SunGard Consulting Services said MiFID’s impact on Europe’s equities trading landscape is now beginning to emerge. “Although it is encouraging to see that most firms remain confident about preparations, it is also interesting to note that many are yet to commit significant budgets,” said Thornton. “For many, there seems to be an attitude of ‘wait-and-see’ as MiFID’s implications become clearer over time.”

Outweighing benefits
Indeed, it is one of the peculiarities of MiFID that the EU went into the project without doing a full cost benefit analysis of the changes. Last year, the head of the UK Financial Services Authority, Callum McCarthy, suggested that the costs of introducing the changes might outweigh their likely benefits. “Whether the benefits for Europe as a whole outweigh those costs, it is impossible to say because no proper (cost-benefit analysis) has been done,” he told a parliamentary committee. “I think it is deeply unsatisfactory that we should be in that position.”
Since then, the FSA has published its own analysis, which appears to confirm those worries. The study, by Europe Economics, the consultancy, indicates UK businesses will spend £1bn to implement the directive, but will see net benefits of only about £100m a year.
However, other analysts have painted a more upbeat picture. LogicaCMG, an IT services company, published a report entitled “MiFID – An Opportunity for Profit” that outlines three industry scenarios post November 2007. “As with other legislation, more can be made of MiFID than just regulatory obligations,” says Lode Snykers, a director in the financial services arm of LogicaCMG. “There is an opportunity for growth and for profit. This is not to downplay the practical challenges of compliance – these are considerable and firms need to act now to turn clear strategies into practical action. This includes the management of processes, data and communications that are needed for pre and post trade transparency and compliance.”
Report author Graham Bishop, an independent consultant, says that the pace of technological progress continues to be so rapid that the cost of compliance may not be as high as feared. “Critically, the marginal cost for individual banks in becoming a Systematic Internaliser may be lower than many banks expect, so many more SIs may emerge than are currently expected,” he says.
The report outlines three scenarios that focus on the rise of Systematic Internalisers versus the potential decline of stock exchanges. Under the first scenario, the status quo continues. The policy objective of cutting trading costs is achieved in relation to exchange fees, but the failure to complete all the flanking measures frustrates the ambitions for broader competition in trading securities. Indeed, the exchanges remain comfortably profitable and are able to invest in new technology themselves, so they keep their economies of scale versus any competitor.
Under the second scenario, Systematic Internalisers become private, global stock exchanges operating vertical silos. The firms that took a bold view on becoming Systematic Internalisers turn out to gain such a major competitive edge that they reduce to a handful. In effect, they become vertically integrated, global stock exchanges. But they are privately owned and span several regulatory regimes.
Tipping point
The third and final scenario sits part way between these extremes. But this is unlikely to be a stable position in the longer term, as some of the stock exchanges will find the competition increasingly hard, especially if they do not have a derivatives business. The tipping point could come if a listed stock exchange decided to split off its stock exchange business and preserve the high-growth derivatives profits so as to maintain the premium rating of its shares, the report says. “Then the slide towards private stock exchanges in liquid shares would be underway.”
To date, MiFID has been a story of heavy compliance costs incurred for the sake of elusive and uncertain benefits. If financial firms are to do the work necessary to comply in time, those benefits are going to have to become more tangible.

Engage your enemy

With an estimated trillion dollars of criminal money passing through the international banking system every year, money laundering is an increasing problem for financial institutions. Regulators are urging banks to adopt stricter controls and politicians, desperate to intercept terrorist funding, and are passing new laws with tougher penalties for banks that let dirty money through their books.

To protect their systems, banks are increasingly turning to software solutions, some of which are based on artificial intelligence techniques. But just how effective are they? US banks used to treat the purchase of anti-money laundering (AML) software as a checklist compliance issue, and only deployed it to meet specific statutory requirements in high-risk parts of the business, says Breffni McGuire, a senior analyst at Tower Group: “But since 9/11, the situation has altered radically.”
The USA Patriot Act, introduced to thwart terrorist organisations, put a new focus on detecting rather than just monitoring for suspicious activity. “Not surprisingly, bankers developed a new interest in tools and technologies to satisfy the Act,” she says.
The climate has also changed in the UK. City Watchdog, the Financial Services Authority, has made money laundering one of its priorities and fined several leading banks for their poor AML controls. Those penalised include Bank of Ireland, Bank of Scotland and Abbey National, which was fined a record £2.3m.
Those fines had a ‘huge impact’ on the City and encouraged banks to improve their controls, says Carmen Reynolds, a partner at lawyers White & Case. At the same time, the FSA has increased firms’ wider responsibilities by telling them to tackle the risk of money laundering, rather than simply ticking off a list of compliance rules.
Since then, the government has launched a new anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist finance strategy. Economic Secretary to the Treasury, Ed Balls, said the strategy, which has been drawn up with law enforcement agencies, policy departments and the private sector, sets out a series of new measures and key priorities for the future. These strategies are designed to increase the use of the financial system as a weapon against international crime and terrorism. He promised a “comprehensive programme of financial measures, supported by UK-sponsored international standards that deter crime and terrorism; detect it when it happens, disrupt those responsible and hold them to account.”

Frozen assets
The strategy shows that the money laundering and terrorist finance laws passed are already helping to save lives and bring criminals and terrorists to justice, said Balls. Financial institutions are successfully identifying suspicious financial activity, equivalent to around 20 to 30 percent of the estimated annual flow of laundered money in the UK, he said. Nearly 200 bank accounts linked to terrorist suspects have been frozen in the UK and £100m of assets are recovered annually from criminal gangs which are used to fund further action against them and compensate victims. Financial investigations and money laundering prosecutions have increased substantially and new centres of excellence ­– including specialist teams created to combat money laundering related to international corruption – are now helping to protect the integrity of the UK’s financial system.
Priorities for the future include further steps to promote the proactive use of asset freezing powers, including the creation of a dedicated Treasury Asset Freezing Unit. There are also steps planned to make financial tools a mainstream part of the UK’s approach to tackling crime and terrorism, including through new powers to increase their impact and a radical increase in targets for criminal asset recovery. The government is also developing further data-sharing between the public and private sectors and better pooling of intelligence between different public authorities.
That could all add up to a heavy compliance burden on businesses. But, importantly, the government wants to develop more of a risk-based approach to regulation, whereby scrutiny is focused on those companies most likely to be involved in, or victims of, financial crime. To help with that, the government is committed to providing better guidance to all regulated industries, to cut red tape and to simplify the work they have to do to comply with the existing rules and regulations on money laundering.
The introduction of the European Union’s third money laundering directive, which national governments have to implement by the end of 2007, will continue this risk-based regulatory trend, explains Reynolds. “Regulators are encouraging firms to move to a more risk-based and more qualitative approach that leads firms to look more closely at the operations of those bank accounts in order to spot suspicious activity as it goes on,” she says.
The first line of defence is to prevent criminals from opening accounts, “and the best methodology for that is to stop them at the front door,” says Ken Farrow, a former head of the City of London police fraud squad and now head of fraud and financial crime at Lloyds TSB bank. “That’s why there’s been such an emphasis on know-your-customer and making sure that you do proper due diligence, particularly with business accounts.”

Legitimate
Farrow says that money laundered for organised crime tends to run through business accounts created by front companies. “Banks need to make sure that the businesses are real and that the people running them are legitimate.” The tools for doing that – such as Complinet and World-Check – are “improving all the time,” he says.
Lloyds TSB applies such due diligence tools to every account it opens. “If the background work is done properly and thoroughly, and the tools that are there are applied, it’s very difficult for a money launderer to open an account,” says Farrow. “And so much effort and investment has been put into money laundering prevention, that even if you manage to open an account, it’s not going to be long before something is spotted to enable the warning signals to flash.”
Those flashing warning signals will be set off by a transaction monitoring system – the second line of defence. Such systems match known customer profiles against transaction flows and look for unusual peaks or patterns. If an Italian restaurant suddenly starts banking more cash than others of a similar size, the system would flag the account for closer attention.
Banks have used such systems to spot credit card fraud for some time. “But by applying additional rule sets, they can be used to identify trends that are consistent with money laundering,” explains Ian Fisher, Vice President of internal audit at Morgan Stanley. The more advanced solutions deploy neural networks, a form of artificial intelligence, which enables them to learn and spot patterns better. Leading vendors include Searchspace, SAS, Actimize and Mantas.
“The use of intelligent transaction monitoring systems to detect money laundering is now vital,” says Doug Hopton, former head of group fraud and money laundering prevention for Barclays Bank, because the sheer volume of transactions that banks need to monitor would render any manual approach inoperable.
But such systems will only get a bank so far. Farrow uses Searchspace at Lloyds TSB and says, “it does pretty much everything we want to do,” but the challenge is the increasing volume of transactions. “We’ve learnt and refined the way the software is applied and the rules we use, and we constantly look at trends of fraudulent activity so that we stay up to speed with criminal methodologies,” says Farrow. But investigating the transactions identified as suspicious is a slow, expensive and manual business. As Hopton says, “No matter how good your system, or how well you set your parameters, it will never give you the answer you want: it does not say that is money laundering. It simply tells you that something does not meet the expected profile. You have to then go back to a manual system of looking at the transaction.”
Artificial
And it’s at that reintroduction of the human element that problems arise. “Artificial intelligence tends to be more artificial than it is intelligent,” says Alan Mangelsdorf, Marketing Director at Mantas. “The keys to identifying fraudulent transactions are the people, process, technology and data that is employed in the effort.” Because the police simply do not have enough time to investigate all the suspicious transactions that are reported – there were 200,000 in the UK last year – money launderers are going unpunished. This creates another problem for banks. “It becomes a frustration because we don’t get the feedback that we need to be able to see connections and know something is suspicious,” says Farrow. Without the knowledge of whether a transaction really did involve money laundering or not, the banking software can only learn so much, regardless of how intelligent it is.
One way forward is to take an enterprise-wide approach to the problem, and this is the direction in which three-quarters of international financial services organisations are heading, according to a recent survey from Norkom Technologies. These firms are trying to coordinate their management of financial crime – from fraud to money laundering – across business units, product lines and territories.
“An enterprise-wide approach will massively increase their ability to detect crime and stop it in its tracks,” says Rosemary Turley, a director of Norkom. “The criminal rings that perpetrate fraud or launder money do so across multiple channels, regions, business units and product lines. Combined detection capabilities, which recognise and flag connections between suspicious activity alerts across the enterprise and provide information for coordinated investigations, increase the likelihood of catching the criminals.”
However, the research also found significant barriers to consolidation, including the proliferation of technology in the aftermath of 9/11, which has left institutions with multiple systems that duplicate effort while inhibiting crime detection because of their inability to share information.
Though 54 percent of institutions have invested in technologies to combat money laundering and 47 percent to combat fraud, 42 percent of them say they currently have no way to consolidate the information from these disparate systems. Many of those that have achieved any degree of consolidation have done so only for money laundering or fraud in isolation.
Consolidating compliance
According to Turley, technology proliferation has exacerbated an existing problem caused by the industry’s traditional business structures and rapid growth. “It’s ironic that the very activities that fuel growth ­– mergers, acquisitions and the creation of new products and channels – also increase an institution’s exposure to crime by fostering silos of activity,” she says. “When multiple technologies operate in isolation, supporting crime fighting structures that are business line, product or geography specific, it is easier for criminals to attack and harder for institutions to stop them.” Turley says companies must take four steps to consolidate their crime and compliance activities.
First: Deploy an overarching technology that consolidates suspicious activity alerts from all of the institution’s detection systems. Apply additional analytics to uncover links and similarities between alerts to reveal the patterns and trends that are the hallmarks of organised crime.
Second: Establish enterprise-wide investigation and case management by consolidating the information needed for any investigation and delivering it directly to the investigator’s desktop. Use consistent, automated workflows and information retrieval techniques to govern investigation and regulatory reporting procedures.
Third: Focus investigatory resource where it is most needed by using technology to segment and prioritise alerts according to complexity, level and types of risk then forwarding them directly to individual investigators with the most relevant experience.
Fourth: Pursue constant evolution of detection scenarios to improve accuracy. The new generation of technologies include self-learning capabilities that allow scenarios to be constantly refined, so that the number of false alerts created and investigations required decrease over time.
Firms that follow these steps will see big improvements, says Turley. Three quarters of those in Norkom’s research said that their investigatory effectiveness would be improved if they could automatically identify links between suspicious activity alerts. The same proportion said that consolidating information from their various detection systems to facilitate centralised investigations would constitute best practice.
So, software investments can help firms to combat money laundering and financial crime, if they go about things in the right way. But those that get it wrong are likely to create as many problems as they solve, and pour money down the drain.

Areas for innovation

   

In the first–ever report of its kind Social Technologies, the global consulting firm, asked an expert international panel, “What will likely be the most important scientific and technological breakthroughs with significant commercial value and impacts on the lives of consumers globally between 2008 and 2025?”

“Biofuels” was named as one of the Top 12 areas in which significant innovation is expected. Such innovation in biofuel production will increase the potential to shift a portion of the global fuel supply away from conventional fossil–fuel resources. In addition to biofuels being a CO2–neutral fuel source, innovations will make biofuel production increasingly cost competitive with conventional fuel resources.
   
Technology overview
Biofuels are liquid fuels that are created from the chemical transformation of plants and other forms of biomass. Currently, two primary biofuels are in commercial production: ethanol (a gasoline alternative) and biodiesel. Ethanol is commonly produced by the fermentation of plant sugars contained in corn, sugarcane, or beets. Biodiesel is produced through the synthesis of vegetable oils from crops like soy, rapeseed, and palm trees.
New technologies for biofuel production are expanding the range of potential biomass feedstocks to include agricultural wastes, timber wastes, switchgrass, and biomass wood crops like willow and poplar. Another technology – biomass gasification – gasifies any form of biomass to create a synthesis gas that can be refined into liquid fuels. These new technologies can improve production efficiencies and widen the potential resource base for biofuel production. According to a study by the US Department of Energy, the US has biomass resources that have the potential to displace more than 30 percent of petroleum fuels by 2030.

State of the art

The existing infrastructure for producing ethanol and biodiesel is mature and well established, although it represents only a small niche within overall fuel production. One reason that this is the case is that existing technologies are currently not capable of producing biofuels that are cost competitive with conventional fuels – with the single exception of ethanol production in Brazil.
• Corn ethanol. Biofuels in the US are dominated by the production of ethanol from corn. Corn is harvested and fermented to extract sugars, which are distilled to create liquid fuels for transportation. In 2006, more than 5 billion gallons of ethanol were produced, triple the amount in 2001. The surge in US production is being driven by new mandates to use ethanol as a gasoline additive to boost fuel octane and reduce the fuel particulates that can cause urban smog.The vast majority of ethanol is currently used in fuel blends containing up to 10 percent ethanol. These blends can be used in conventional vehicles. According to a forecast by the National Corn Growers Association, by 2015 US corn– ethanol production could double or triple again, reaching 12–16 billion gallons per year, without affecting food–related corn supplies.
• Ethanol from sugarcane. Brazil has spent decades developing an extensive domestic biofuels industry focused primarily on ethanol produced from sugarcane. Sugarcane is a highly efficient biofuel crop in Brazil as local conditions reduce the need for fertiliser inputs and provide a long tropical growing season. Because its sugarcane crops are highly productive, Brazil’s production costs for ethanol are 40 percent lower than those in the US. Brazil currently fuels one–third of its transportation fleet with ethanol, and exports more than 500 million gallons to a dozen different countries. According to a Brazilian energy task force, its ethanol industry has the potential to produce enough fuel to substitute ethanol for 10 percent of the gasoline consumed worldwide by 2025.
• Biodiesel. Biodiesel is produced from vegetable oils through a relatively simple chemical process. Biodiesel fuel can be run in conventional modern diesel engines without modifications, and it has the additional benefit of having low levels of sulphur and pollution–causing particulates compared to conventional diesel fuels. Europe is a dominant global producer of biodiesel, producing 4.8 million tonnes of biodiesel in 2006, primarily in Germany, France, and Italy. Biodiesel demand is likely to further grow in Europe, since the EU has issued a directive to increase the proportion of biofuels used in Europe’s transport fuels from two percent in 2005 to 5.75 percent by 2010 and 20 percent by 2020. Future growth in global biodiesel production is expected to be strong in Brazil, India, and China, all of which have plans to scale up their biodiesel production in the next decade. By 2020, 20 percent of the diesel transport fuel used by the EU, China, India, and Brazil could from biodiesel sources.
• Flex–fuel vehicles. Flex–fuel vehicles are vehicles with fuel–system modifications that enable both gasoline and E85 ethanol blends to be used. Over the past decade, US automakers have produced more than six million flex–fuel vehicles, and have announced plans to double production to two million annually by 2010. Modifying an engine to be “flex–fuel” only involves a few simple upgrades to the fuel lines and fuel–control system and costs only a few hundred dollars.
However, the infrastructure for ethanol fuel distribution has been slow to grow, with only 1,100 US fuel stations – mostly clustered in the Midwest – offering E85 ethanol. Conventional vehicles can run on up to a 10 percent ethanol mixture, and therefore much of today’s ethanol production is being used as a gasoline additive to reduce vehicle emissions.
   
Challenges ahead
Biofuels are more expensive than conventional fuels, but costs are likely to drop as technological innovations boost production efficiency. Even with prospective price reductions, there will be other challenges for biofuels in the future:
• Food–versus–fuel concerns. Current use of food crops like corn as the feedstock for biofuel production is causing price increases in several agricultural commodities. During 2006–2007, the price of corn has nearly doubled to $4 per bushel, in part as a result of the demand for corn from new ethanol plants in the US Midwest. These costs are being transferred down the agricultural production chain to the dairy and meat industries that rely on corn meal for animal feeds. Higher corn prices have also led to rising prices in Mexico for consumer staples like tortillas, which resulted in street demonstrations involving upwards of 75,000 protestors. In the short term, food–versus– fuel concerns could generate negative public backlash against the biofuel industry.
However, in the longer term new, nonfood biofuel feedstocks will emerge, such as switchgrass, coppiced willow, and agricultural wastes. Greater diversification of biomass feedstocks will partially relieve the pressure on prime agricultural lands, and reduce food–versus–fuel concerns over the long run.
• Energy return on energy invested (EROEI).
Biofuel production is an energy–intensive process, requiring energy inputs into farm equipment, crop fertiliser, biomass transport, and in the biofuel refining process. While estimates can vary, one recent study suggested that corn–derived ethanol requires an input of one unit of energy for every 1.25 units of energy created (with much of the energy surplus in the form of waste products that can be sold as cattle feed); biodiesel from soybean has a slightly higher energy return of 1.93 units for every one unit used in its creation. Both corn ethanol and soy biodiesel offer low returns compared to the Brazilian production of ethanol from sugarcane, which has an EROEI between eight and 10. The relatively low energy return of corn ethanol makes biofuel production costs rise in line with overall energy costs, and impedes corn ethanol biofuels from making a large contribution to the energy supply. However, researchers are actively seeking to improve efficiencies at every stage of biofuel production, including more–productive biomass crops, reductions in fertiliser input, and more–efficient processes for the fermentation or distillation of biofuels. Expansion of marketable co–products from biofuel production could also improve the cost–effectiveness of biomass–to–fuel processes.
• Logistics problems. Biomass crops are seasonally harvested, requiring bio–refineries to store biomass off–season in order to ensure continuous refinery production. In addition, biomass crops are bulky and become increasingly costly to transport as the distance from the field to the refinery lengthens. This creates inherent logistics challenges for large–scale biomass facilities. For example, according to one study an 80–million–gallon cellulosic–ethanol plant would need corn stover feedstocks from 500,000 acres of corn within a 50–mile radius of the plant and 500 acres to store it after harvest. Logistical challenges could be improved through the diversification of feedstocks and by creating efficient small–scale processing facilities that are closer to abundant supplies of feedstocks.

Gamechangers
High prices for oil have made the economics of biofuel production much more favourable, and have accelerated commercial efforts to find ways of producing biofuels. New technologies offer the potential to expand the range of biomass inputs to include a variety of waste streams, which could increase the total supply of biomass without impinging on prime agricultural lands. New technologies for biofuel production hold the potential to change the balance of market and technology power among existing players. Currently, both energy companies and large agribusiness companies are expanding their investments in the biofuel sector. Agribusiness companies have a large depth of expertise in the logistical management and marketing of bulk foods and food products. Energy companies excel in fuel–refining technologies and the production and distribution of fuels and fuel–production byproducts. How these two different industries compete – or cooperate – in the biofuel sector will significantly impact the future evolution of the sector through 2025. Further complicating the competitive landscape for biofuels will be the emergence of new technologies that have the potential to be a disruptive force in the biofuel production industry:

Cellulosic ethanol
Conventional ethanol production uses fermentation to create sugars that can be distilled into ethanol fuels. However, conventional ethanol fermentation cannot process the cellulose in plant cells. Cellulosic ethanol technologies use tailored enzymes to convert the cellulose in biomass into sugars that can be fermented. This expands the feedstocks available for ethanol production to include a wider range of woody crops, such as switchgrass and coppiced willow, or agricultural wastes, such as straw or corn stover. Cellulosic ethanol production is rapidly maturing, and in early 2007 the US Department of Energy announced $385m in funding for the construction of six cellulosic ethanol facilities in the US. However, production costs for cellulosic ethanol remain high, with the US Department of Energy finding that it costs about $2.20 per gallon to produce cellulosic ethanol, double the cost of producing ethanol conventionally from corn. Reductions in the cost of production for cellulosic ethanol are likely to come from innovations in refining processes that will boost efficiency and productivity. Advances are already underway, with multiple companies investigating ways to select or genetically engineer organisms that boost process efficiency during three key stages of the production process: breaking down cellulose; converting cellulose to sugar; and fermenting sugar into ethanol. Another approach being explored is genetically modified crops that are capable of breaking down their own cellulose.

Biomass gasification (biomass to liquid fuels)
Biomass gasification involves high–temperature combustion of biomass feedstocks to produce a synthesis gas that can be turned into liquid fuels through the Fischer–Tropsch process. Gasification technologies have been commercialised for coal and natural gas inputs, but biomass–to–liquid (BTL) facilities still remain small–scale research prototypes. Currently, fuel–maker Choren is planning construction of a BTL facility in Germany that is expected to produce 4,500 barrels per day of BTL fuels by 2010. Biomass gasification facilities have high capital costs as a result of the inherent difficulties of handling biomass feedstocks and the need to scale down BTL facilities to be appropriate for the local biomass fuel supply.

However, biomass gasification does have advantages in that it can use a wide variety of biomass feedstocks, including conventional biomass crops, agricultural wastes, and wood and forestry wastes.

Future commercialisation of BTL will require innovations that improve process efficiency and reduce capital costs. One promising approach is a low–temperature gasification technology, which can efficiently produce a hydrogen–rich gas that can be converted into bio–hydrogen, bio–methane (natural gas), or liquid fuels.
Another approach being explored by Range Fuels (formerly Kergy) involves building an ethanol production plant that uses a modular biomass gasification system; this system can achieve energy conversions upwards of 75 percent processing up to 1,000 tonnes of biomass a day. Such levels of volume and efficiency could allow small–scale facilities to be located closer to biomass production areas. The ethanol produced from the Range Fuels biomass gasification process is expected to be competitive in costs with corn ethanol.

Waste to fuel
Municipal solid waste (MSW) might soon be utilised as the input feedstock in biofuel production. As a potential biomass resource, MSW has the advantage of having an existing infrastructure for collection and transport, and is a resource that the public is willing to pay to have collected. Two emerging technologies could turn urban garbage into energy and fuels: plasma arc gasification and thermal depolymerisation.
Plasma arc gasification uses an electric plasma arc to gasify wastes at temperatures of up to 30,000 °F. Plasma arc gasification accepts unsorted waste inputs and safely breaks down hazardous wastes into benign compounds. The outputs of plasma gasification are inert slag, excess electricity for the power grid, and synthesis gas that can be converted into a variety of liquid fuels via BTL processes. Startech Environmental Corporation is planning to construct a facility in St. Lucie County, Florida, that will be capable of handling 2,000 tonnes of new trash daily, as well as 1,000 tonnes per day of garbage from an existing landfill. Thermal depolymerisation uses a combination of heat and high pressure to convert complex molecular compounds into short–chain hydrocarbons. The process can digest agricultural wastes, sorted garbage, or even sewage into component molecules and hydrocarbons. A pilot plant built by Clean World Technologies is using thermal depolymerisation to process poultry processing wastes: 270 tonnes of turkey waste and 20 tonnes of pig fat are rendered into 500 barrels of fuel oil, a fertiliser compound, and trace wastes that can be safely discharged into water. ConocoPhillips and Tyson Foods are also collaborating on constructing a thermal depolymerisation plant that would extract low–sulphur diesel fuels from animal wastes.

Hydrogen injection
Researchers at Purdue University are exploring the use of supplemental hydrogen during biofuel gasification to triple the yield of biofuel. During conventional biomass gasification, up to 60–70 percent of the carbon content in the biomass is converted to CO2 or CO instead of being converted into fuel.

“Adding hydrogen to the gasifier essentially suppresses the CO2, so that all the carbon that came with [the] biomass ends up in liquid fuel,” says lead researcher Rakesh Agrawal. In theory, if widely adopted this process could allow the US to replace fossil fuels with biofuels by using only about six–10 percent of the available land in the US, compared to land requirements upwards of 25–55 percent of US land in conventional biofuel production. The primary reason for the higher efficiency of hydrogen injection is that it is much more energy efficient to generate hydrogen through the electrolysis of water than it is to “harvest” the hydrogen in biomass crops. Hydrogen injection offers a potential new avenue of evolution for the oft–touted “hydrogen economy”: extensive use of hydrogen to create liquid biofuels would minimise the need to build out an extensive distribution infrastructure for hydrogen. Instead, hydrogen production could be concentrated next to biofuel refineries, producing liquid biofuels that are compatible with the existing energy infrastructure and transportation fleets.

Algae biofuel

Today, biodiesel is generally produced from oil–rich farm crops like soybeans (in the US) and rapeseed (in the EU). However, soybeans only produce 50 gallons of useable oil per acre, and rapeseed only produces 150 gallons. Researchers are studying using oil–rich algae as a source of biomass for biodiesel production. Theoretically, an algae pond could produce up to 10,000 gallons of vegetable oil per acre, since algae can grow exponentially and some strains of algae can accumulate oils in quantities of up to 50 percent of their weight.
Several companies are currently investigating algae biofuel production, and are expecting to build pilot plants in the next few years.LiveFuels is exploring an approach that uses shallow ponds for algae production. The open pond approach to algae production faces the challenge of minimizing the growth of invading micro–organisms that can thrive and potentially crowd out the oil–producing algae microbes.
LiveFuels is attempting to address this hurdle by identifying algae strains able to better resist infiltration. Solix and Greenfuel Technologies are exploring an approach that involves “photo–bioreactors”– enclosed miniature greenhouses that prevent algae infiltration and allow for higher concentrations of CO2. In both approaches, efficient production of biofuels from algae requires high concentrations of CO2 to be injected to maximise algae growth. Therefore, algae biofuel production has the important potential of being integrated into carbon capture systems at fossil fuel powerplants.

Integrated biorefining
The cost–effectiveness of biofuel production could be enhanced by integrating biorefining capabilities into the existing refining and petrochemical production infrastructure. Integration of biorefining capability into existing petrochemical refineries could lower the costs of both capital investment and end products. Integration of biomass–processing equipment with existing petroleum refining equipment could enable biomass processing to utilise hydrogen and low–grade waste heat from oil refining. Additional efficiencies could be achieved by sending partially refined hydrocarbons from the biorefinery over to the petrochemical refining equipment for further processing into commercial end products.
Currently, biofuels are typically produced in dedicated biomass conversion units that are designed for very specific biomass inputs and product outputs. Integrated biorefining could bring additional flexibility to the biomass refining process, allowing a wider diversity of biomass inputs to be used, and a wider range of end–products to be produced. Development of commercial byproducts for biomass refining could improve the payback for biorefining facilities. Already, researchers have found ways to transform glycerin, a byproduct of biodiesel production, into an edible transparent film for use in food packaging.

Business implications
Biofuel technology innovations described will potentially impact a wide variety of industries between today and the year 2025.
• The automobile industry already plays an important role in adapting vehicle designs to accommodate wider use of biofuels. However, wider availability of biofuels could have more–direct impacts on engine designs. MIT researchers are studying small turbocharged engines that run on gasoline but have a separate fuel injection system for ethanol. This approach to ethanol injection can boost engine efficiency and enable fuel savings of up to 20–30 percent. This potential alternative to hybrid powertrains or fuel cell systems could offer equivalent fuel efficiencies at lower costs. Widespread availability of biodiesel fuels could improve the prospects for growth of the diesel car fleet in the US, with low–emission biodiesel reducing the “dirty” reputation for diesels in the US, and offering fuel efficiencies that rival hybrid vehicles. Combining hybrid powertrains and diesel engines can result in cars with energy efficiencies that rival fuel cell vehicles, using relatively inexpensive existing technologies.
• Agribusiness companies may be better positioned than energy companies to capitalise on growth in biofuels. Biofuel production involves logistical challenges like the harvest and transport of biomass crops, as well as expertise in the bulk processing of agricultural materials.
Biofuel production also creates waste byproducts that have economic value as animal feeds or organic fertilisers. For example, the production of ethanol generates a protein–rich byproduct that is marketed as “distillers dry grains,” a cattle feed. Agribusiness is better positioned to develop, package, market, and distribute co–products from biofuel production.
• Current biofuel industries tend to be nationally oriented, in part because biofuels have been used by nations as a means to support the agricultural sector. As more countries begin to engage in production of biofuel, greater quantities of biofuels for export will be entering world markets. Greater internationalization in the trade of biofuels could allow World two and World three nations to utilise their biomass resources as an export industry. This could accelerate economic development and income growth in developing countries. In time, biofuel exporters may see merits in forming a production cartel (along the lines of OPEC) in order to better manage global biofuel supply and pricing. If such an approach were successful, Brazil would be poised to play a role in the biofuel industry similar to the role Saudi Arabia plays in oil production.
• The creation of biofuels from municipal solid wastes has strong future potential. Global urban growth continues to accelerate, especially in World two and World three. In World one, environmental concerns constrain the availability of landfill space. Waste–to–fuel facilities could take advantage of the existing infrastructure for garbage collection and benefit from getting paid to receive garbage–biomass shipments. Waste–to–fuel technology could transform waste disposal and tap biomass resources that are independent of agricultural or plant resources.
• Algae biodiesel technology could play an important role as a carbon sequestration aid or alternative. Several current approaches to sequestration involve injection of captured CO2 into stable underground areas or into depleted oilfields to boost production. However, the sites of power plants are not always located near suitable geological features, creating challenges for transporting the sequestered carbon. Channeling the sequestered CO2 into the production of algae biofuel could address some of the logistical challenges in disposing of sequestered carbon. More importantly, algae biofuel production could allow the wastes of carbon sequestration to be transformed into fuel byproducts that could defray the overall costs of sequestration. To the extent that biofuels derived from sequestered carbon can displace conventional fossil fuels, algae biofuel production could offer a means to offset carbon emissions that does not involve long–term storage or disposal of carbon dioxide.

In search of the world’s black gold

Few would argue that oil has many faces. From environmentalists keen to end the use of fossil fuels to big business portraying it as one of the world’s most important resources. For the last few decades, the oil question has been on the tip of the tongue of every dignitary, politician, and man in the street – becoming the subject at dinner parties and international summits alike. It doesn’t seem to discriminate. And yet, for a fairly inanimate liquid, oil doesn’t half cause some controversy. It causes and ends wars, makes billionaires of a lucky select few, destroys our oceans and wildlife, keeps us warm and feeds our children. Such is the discursive entity and fanfare of oil as fuel.

Debates rage as the fuel burns. Should we utilise it or leave it to the earth? A multifaceted question. One thing is certain: industry feeds off of it.
The problem is of course not only found in it’s origins and the way in which we obtain it, but what it turns into. Most manufacturers may not think about it much, but most of the oil we rely on comes from porous rock formations deep underground, and the dead plankton that over a period of time has accumulated and been processed through various geological transformations. From this we produce petroleum to be generated into disposable energy.
Looking back at the very early stage of production – thousands and millions of years ago – one wonders how human life has only recently become so dependent on what is essentially rotten plankton.

Supply and demand
Produced energy: the cornerstone of civilised life and a fact that every single person on the planet has come to rely upon. Although recent years have offered up new and various forms of production, burning oil off seems to be the
easiest, most logical and economically viable. Certainly in the short term. The nuclear debate is still at an early stage – as many countries still seem to think back to Chernobyl when proposals of nuclear energy come to the political floor. Coal is difficult to transport, awkward to burn, and just as unpopular amongst the environmentalists. Those greener modes of energy production – such as wind, solar, or geothermal, have all proved to be fairly cost ineffective and not entirely productive. Oil, it seems, is the answer to all our woes.
And it isn’t just essential for producing energy. Many different industries rely on it for one reason or another after the initial phase. From pharmaceuticals to the mass media, to construction to distribution, all sectors of the world economy need petroleum. The consumer, whether they like it or not, should pay oil the respect it deserves. Although it seems popular in the twenty–first century to turn one’s nose up at the black god, most consumables are made with oil involved in the production line somewhere – even the so called “eco–friendly” products. Step into your kitchen some time and count how many items have not utilised oil. Walk into a warehouse and note how many products and systems don’t rely on oil. A short list. Plastics and other disposable goods are based solely on oil in one form or another. Environmentalists might not like it, but we rely on oil and the plastics that are acquired from it.
For that reason, demand for oil isn’t likely to shrivel up dramatically. Prices in the US dropped marginally after the highs of early 2008, soaring again in late February. These fluctuations are due to strained demand, and the wonderful excuse in the form of the credit crunch and the fact that consumers have panicked. Most economists consider this as a mild blip: petrol buyers will be back in droves, as will the manufacturers who can survive the current predicament. President Bush recently went to several of the larger oil producing countries in the Middle East, asking for price to be dropped so as his nation can get back on her feet. He was quickly rebuffed.
Many Middle East countries are keen to show distaste for America’s aggressive foreign policy. In a recent case, Saudi King Abdullah refused to increase production in order to lower rates. The point made by the Saudi head of state was that oil can make the world’s largest economy seem of minimal importance, and beat it to its knees.
London Brent – known among distributors and economists alike as the perfect oil for petroleum use – supplies not only the UK but many nations across Europe. Due to it’s geographical position, it is easily transported, making demand quite high. However, much of the oil that fulfils Europe’s demand comes from the region covered by the former Soviet Union. The Russian government of course takes a certain degree of political acumen as it holds such a great reserve, and can easily distribute either to China or the west. Many argue that if Russia’s largest oil distributor, Geoprom, decided to, they could make European markets fold at the drop of a hat.
The supply of the world’s favourite commodity has become of great interest among politicians, and to an extent manufacturers’ hands are tied. For this reason, larger companies become entwined in political fracas and financial debates. Perhaps worryingly, more markets are learning fast, as Africa and China bring their chips to the table. This raises endless political debacles and entanglements, as larger oil companies scramble for poorer nations, keen to exploit those governments ill equipped for mining and production.
Economics dipped in drums
As so many companies, networks and agents are so reliant on oil and petroleum, world economies are constantly stretched by changes in supply and oil prices. If oil takes a dip, so do world economies. This spiralling affect can be reversed: when a market crisis ensues, oil prices become affected and further drag those same markets down. Such was the situation that unfolded recently in the US. The credit crunch, which was essentially produced by paranoia in the markets, affected much of Wall Street and stock exchanges. This fuelled further paranoia, as oil soared to the $100 mark that we witnessed in January and again in February. As that happened, inflation rose whilst real estate prices went through the roof. Since then, more market paranoia regarding a fallout and the mention of a recession have knocked oil prices down to a new low in months. It seemed devastating that oil fell around the $80 neighbourhood in late January: although that is still relatively high considering barrel prices sat at around $50 this time last year. Someone has made an awful lot of money. As the prices remain consistently high, the US home office cannot simply use fiscal strategies to pull itself out of the current slump. Oil is holding it all down. Those suppliers markets are able to sit tight and hold onto reserves, having affected the market just at the right time. The demanding markets continue to suffer.
The potential power of oil and petrol on world markets should not be underestimated: as a product on the market, it holds more importance than any other commodity. In early January, as oil prices seemed to affect so much of the market, Mike Wittner, global head of oil research at Societe Generale said: “One week does not make a trend, but if diesel demand in the US starts to weaken, that to me is a warning for the economy as well.” He was right. The economy is gasping for oil to loosen it’s strenuous grip.
The spoils of war
There have, over the past few years, been many who have suggested that scores of the wars across the world have been oil related. Spilling over from the Cold War have been constant disagreements between this country and that, of which sceptics are keen to seek alternative reasons from those outlined by governments and politicians.
Are there grounds for such cynicism? As nation’s struggle to seize this great commodity to secure a prominent future, it would seem that there are no limits to the measures employed to detain reserves. When oil is found it must be claimed, and issues of geographical importance can be disregarded. Even then, pipelines must be built across many different borders and various political climates.
The most probable of the recent wars to have an oil basted background could be the first Gulf War. Political theorist and sociologist Jean Baudrillard provoked outcry when he announced that the war didn’t even happen, then went on to explain how the whole thing was surrounded in a scramble for those precious reserves. Of course his theories have been denounced, having declared such a dubious claim in the first place. The finger has recently been pointed at America, whose recent invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan have been mooted as carrying an oil based subplot. No matter what the initial intentions are of war in an oil rich area, the victor will walk away with cheap or free oil.
Political instabilities have been a constant issue outside of the formal folds of war – as regions across the globe have been targeted by guerrilla warfare and severe struggles. In Nigeria, armed groups have attacked oil facilities, costing the nation around 20 percent of its output. This year’s Chinese Olympics have been tarnished by the host nation’s involvement in the Sudan crisis: as the country sells much of its reserves to China, in exchange for guns and ammunition. Similar manifestations have occurred in Zambia, Ukraine and Mexico.
The most popular, and therefore the most controversial political ordeal that involves oil is within US borders. It is no secret that President Bush was CEO of a large oil firm before changing his line of work. His electoral campaign was then funded by some of his contacts in the petroleum business. Many argue that Bush was paying his debts off when he invaded Afghanistan. This would have shocked few political theorists, as the US presidency has been funded by big industry
sponsors for decades.

Reaching the apex?
The obvious political implications of having a world economy based implicitly on a single currency – oil – have been fuelled by the theory of “peak oil”. Disputed by many, the theory argues that oil reserves are running out. A recent study asserted that reserves will have dried up by the early 2020s. When oil production hits this peak, it will then hit a period of terminal decline, during which price will soar and demand will begin to become less and less satisfied. More alternative energy productions have been coaxed out of the woodwork in order to gauge potential replacements. Although many countries still question the feasibility and safety of nuclear energy, the world’s major economic and political powers have developed means of implementing nuclear facilities. The UK, Germany, and Europe’s biggest producer of nuclear power, France, have all upped their output and network distributions. To that end, the world’s manufacturers should consider where they will obtain energy from in the next few years. The peak oil argument seems to make sense.
As the world relies so much on it, those strips of plankton will surely dry up. The theory however has been set aside, as dates for maximum production have been debated readily, and have come and gone. M K Hubbert first coined the term in 1956, arguing that US oil production would reach it’s limit somewhere between 1965 and 1970. It has proved impossible to predict, as the nation still produces. Tony Hayward, chief executive of BP announced at a conference recently, “I am no subscriber to the theory that oil supplies have already peaked”, although his turn of phrase would suggest that a peak is in the offing. When that happens, humanity will need a replacement, or production of goods may suffer.
With that in mind, recent developments have posed that new oil research – an intensely lucrative business – is a waste of money. Research and exploration costs roughly $50bn annually but may not be worth it. Academic studies have calculated that the amount of carbon emissions the earth can sustain without significant change in global temperature would be around 500 billion tones from oil, gas and coal reserves. An estimated figure for the current output would suggest the actual amount to be around 700 billion: meaning we must stop producing carbon. So says former BP manager Peter Onstwedder. “It prompts the question, where does more exploration fit, do we already have all the reserves we possibly need?” he said.
A list of alternatives
As prices of oil stay so high, extraction has been occurring in places that used to be considered “unattractive” by economists and oil specialists. Oil–rich sands in Canada are dredged for their low quality fuel as a means to enrich the economy. BP have suggested that those regions contain around 12 percent of the planets future reserves. But what if they are proven wrong? Many of the European countries who have started the energy replacement process are developing nuclear facilities. Although waste may be an issue, this seems to be the most popular and economic route. Poorer countries, such as already struggling African nations, will fall further behind as funds simply aren’t there to establish facilities and process uranium. More popular resources, such as wind and hydro power, may be needed to fulfil green demand and avoid the potential political issue that oil will surely pass on to the nuclear generation.